Turkey - Albania 11.10.2019 Free soccer tips
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Turkey against Albania makes move to Euro 2020?
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In our betting tips for the European Championship qualifier you can read our expert assessments for the match between Turkey and Albania on this page. The home leg has already decided the first leg and wants to make a decisive step towards Euro 2020 with a threesome in front of their own audience. The guests from the Western Balkans are somewhat behind in the group and need an away win to save the chances of another European Championship participation. The game starts on Friday, 11.10.2019, at 20.45.
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Turkey
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4 home wins in a row to zero
only 2 goals
Won 3 of the last 4 duels
Albania
won last guest appearance
1.67 goals per game
Will Turkey win the 6th home game in a row?
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Turkey holds course for the Euro 2020, the 2nd European Championship in a row after the missed World Cup last year. The team of Senöl Günes has won 5 out of 6 games in qualifying so far. Only Iceland had to be beaten. In Albania, the eleven set for the opening 2: 0 by. Burak Yılmaz in the first half and Hakan Çalhanoğlu after the break met for the guests from the Bosporus. It was the 3rd victory in the last 4 duels. The last home match was lost two years ago. In this encounter, the Turks are clearly in the role of favorites, for Tipp fall quotas of just under 1.50. The home team could make a big step towards the final. Currently, Turkey is equal to the group favorites France in 1st place, 3 points ahead of the third Iceland. For the bookies, the Turks remain the second favorite on the group victory, fall for the 5.50er quotas. For the Turkish qualification there are 1.50-odds.
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Turkey had to concede only 2 goals in the course of this qualification. Under Günes the team gets on average only 0.29 goals per game. At the front, the team scores an average of 2.29 goals per game. All 5 wins were celebrated by the Turks in this qualifier without conceding. So you can increase your odds with a home win to zero. Only one of the two teams was able to make it to 6 of the 7 games this year - and this also seems to us to be a lucrative betting market in our forecast. Turkey won the last 5 home games, the last 4 to zero. In 10 of the last 20 Turkish internationals fell under 2.5 goals. There are arguments for both sides in the Over / Under 2.5 Goals bet. If you're predicting a home-to-home win, better bet an Under 2.5 Goal bet. Of course, if you trusts the guests at least one goal over 2.5 goals bet is more meaningful.
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Will Albania win for the second time in a row in Turkey?
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Albania has to win in Turkey to safeguard the chances of participating in the European Championship. It would be the 2nd big tournament for the small western Balkan nation after Euro 2016 in France. The Albanians are currently ranked 4th in the group, 6 points behind the top duo. With an away win you would shorten the gap. However, the guests are clear underdog, Tip 2 throws a betting odds of over 8.00. Even with points for the outsiders you can still more than triple your bet with the Double Chance bet X / 2. The team of Edoardo Reja won 3: 0 in Andorra, but the next two appearances were lost: 0: 1 in Iceland, 1: 4 in France. At least the home game against Iceland was won 4-2. Kastriot Dermaku gave the home side the lead before the break. Twice equaled the guests, the interim 2: 1 scored Elseid Hysaj. Odise Roshi and Sokol Çikalleshi scored the home win in the closing stages.
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The Albanians are of course also in the group outsiders on the qualification. There are betting odds at the bookies at 35.00. With this outsider bet, you could ideally clean up in the ideal case. In only 4 of the 6 qualifiers with Albanian participation could only one of the two teams meet. This is another indicator of "no" BTTS bet for us. The team marked 1.67 goals per game on average and scored 1.5 goals in the back. In away games, the average is 1.3 to 1.67. In 9 of the last 15 games fell under 2.5 hits. In 12 of the most recent 15 games with Albanian participation, only one of the two teams could meet. Since winning Turkey two years ago, Albania has won just one of five away games. The remaining 4 were lost. Therefore, we predict that in this encounter, the home team will prevail.
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Bet Tip and Forecast
If the betting odds for the easy home win are too low, you can easily increase them with a half-time. Turkey has advanced in 6 out of the last 8 games at break. More daring doubles their bet with a home win without conceding. Like the bookies, we expect a low-scoring encounter and therefore score under 2.5 goals. Also both teams meet - no can be played.
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Our Bet Tip Prediction: Tip 1 wins to zero
Odds comparison
The match of the seventh round of the qualifying round of Euro 2020 Turkey - Albania will take place on Friday, 11 October at 21:45 (Moscow time) in the Vodafon Park stadium.
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This is a meeting of teams from Group H and the favorite in the group is Turkey. The bookies predict a victory with a difference of at least two goals. After six rounds, she has 15 points and shares with France the first place. In September, Turkey beat Andorra's home stadium 1-0 and defeated Moldova on the road, with four goals conceded unanswered. In the last eight games she won seven wins and suffered only one defeat. She also managed to keep her own goal intact in seven of the nine previous meetings.
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Albania scored nine points in six rounds and finished fourth. A defeat against Turkey would take her the chance for the final of the European Championship. In September, Albania lost 4-1 in a visit to France and defeated Iceland 4-2 at home. Seven games in a row, she changed victories and defeats. For the first time since September 2017, Albania can win in two consecutive matches. Of the last 15 games she won only five and nine times, Albania lost. It should be noted, however, that in only one of their previous 18 games has there been a draw.
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In March, Turkey defeated Albania 2-0. This was their third win in the last four games of the confrontation. Previously, Turkey won only one of five fights against Albania and lost three times. In the upcoming game, the experts of the website Bookmakers.rf rely on the victory of Turkey and the fact that the home team will not miss.
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Bets / odds for funicular spots to play Turkey - Albania:
The victory of Turkey - 1,48, the draw - 4,28, the victory of Albania - 8,15.
Tip for the game Turkey - Albania (OECH-2020, Matchday 7, Oct. 11):
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Turkish victory; Turkey will not miss. In the bookmaker's office 1xBet forecasts the Turkish victory with a score of 1: 0 or 2: 0 (odds of 4.50 and 5.50, respectively). Betting on what Turkey will not miss will be quoted at 1.74.
Four games to go before the end of the qualifying round, in Group H everything is possible. There are only six points difference between the first placed Turkey and the fourth ranked Albania. In between, the Icelanders, who could equal home points in Reykjavik with second-placed France.
However, the small island nation in the northernmost capital of the world would now have to come for the very first victory ever against the reigning world champion, which the Icelanders have never been able to defeat in 14 encounters so far. But: Right at home in Reykjavik, Erik Hamrén's team has proven to be hard to beat.
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Iceland may be led against France, according to bookmakers' odds, as a blatant outsider. However, before this assessment is blindly agreed, one should let the home record of the Vikings briefly melt on the tongue.
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Of the last nine competitive matches played in Reykjavik in the European Championship 2020 and 2016 qualifying rounds, the Icelandic national football team has not lost a single game (seven wins, two draws). Among them, there were victories against the Netherlands or Turkey, which plays a role in Iceland against France for the forecast quite a role.
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So it makes little sense to bet on the very small odds on the away win of the Equipe Tricolore that just "Les Bleus" break through this series. Therefore, we recommend to play Tip 1 against Islang against France and to additionally secure this via "Draw No Bet".
Iceland - Statistics & Current Form
As many as seven regular players are missing the Icelandic national football team, which means that the start of the next two qualifiers at a very unfavorable time. A defeat by France could increase the gap to second place to six in three games before the end of the qualifying round in a simultaneous tripartite Turkey against Albania.
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With only three games left, the qualification for the European Championship 2020 would be a long way off - at least over the traditional way. Four seats are known to be awarded in 2020 through the Nations League play-off games, although this would be just a straw.
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Brisant is how national coach Erik Hamrén responded to the failures. With Birkir Bjarnason and Emil Hallfredsson, the Swede reactivated two players without any adversaries, who are currently without a club. Nominations that are controversial in the Icelandic press.
A possible signal for the players behind it could eventually be that a use in their own clubs or the Icelandic league, from which again only two players have found their way into the squad, not worthwhile. Neither Bjarnason nor Hallfredsson can finally rely on the game rhythm.
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"It is important that we win against Andorra. Against France we will do everything we can to get one point or maybe even three. Iceland has never won against France, but maybe the time is right. "
Erik Hamrén with Hilmar Stefánsson
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Nevertheless, it would be wrong to write off the Icelandic national football team prematurely, although a tip on Vikings' next home win over Iceland is unlikely to prove highly probable.
But: In the European Championship qualifier Iceland lost not one of his last nine home games in Reykjavik (seven wins, two draws) and also struck in the current group stage in Group H in the form of leaders Turkey (2-1) again a top team , As a reminder: The Turks had retraced a 2-0 victory against France just three days before the defeat in Reykjavik at home.
Although Erik Hamrén emphasizes that it is mainly on Monday to score a trip to Andorra at home, but it should be clear that the Vikings also need something countable against the Equipe Tricolore in order to get through again.
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And after all: Although Iceland has never won against France in 14 duels, already 20 years ago in Reykjavik they received an Équipe Tricolore, who came to the northernmost capital of the world as a new world champion - and did not get over a draw there ...
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Expected formation of Iceland:
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Halldorsson - Skúlason - Sigurdsson - Árnason - Hermannsson - Hallfredsson - Gudmundsson - Bjarnason - Sigurjónsson - Sigurdsson - Bödvarsson
Last matches from Iceland:
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10.09.2019 - Albania Vs. Iceland 4: 2 (European Championship Qualification)
07.09.2019 - Iceland vs. Moldova 3: 0 (European Championship Qualification)
11.06.2019 - Iceland vs. Turkey 2: 1 (European Championship Qualification)
08.06.2019 - Iceland vs. Albania 1: 0 (European Championship qualification)
25.03.2019 - France vs. Iceland 4: 0 (European Championship Qualification)
The battle for the important two group places in the European Championship qualification is entering the decisive phase. In some qualification groups the outcome is completely open, in others the candidates are almost certain. For example, in Group B, where Ukraine are 13 points away from the first five group matches, only a few steps away from the European Championship finals. On the sixth matchday the Ukrainians meet Lithuania.
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In the first round, there was a clear 3-0 in favor of the yellow-blue. The bookmakers also favor the leaders of the table in the second round between Ukraine and Lithuania. Anything but a home win would be a big surprise in Kharkiv.
Andriy Shevchenko, the figurehead of Ukrainian football and current national coach, is instrumental in boosting his national team. For several years, the trend of success of the Ukrainians can be seen, which was impressively demonstrated, among other things, with the strong World Cup qualifiers, in which just missed the finals, and the Nations League promotion.
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In this year's European Championship qualification, the strong performance was also underpinned by results. For the yellow and blue, there were last four competitive games in a row. In Ukraine against Lithuania, our forecast again aims for a Ukrainian victory.
Ukraine - Statistics & Current Form
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The Ukrainian national team has great potential. But this is already known since the World Cup qualifiers, when the Ukrainians narrowly missed the World Cup ticket against Croatia. In the Nations League, UEFA's new competition, promotion to Liga A has been fixed. The upward trend of the Ukrainian selection continues in this calendar year.
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In the European Championship qualification, the Ukrainians are currently leading the group. With 13 points from the first round matches, the team of Andriy Shevchenko almost no longer has the ticket for the European Championship 2020. So far, only a single goal conceded, with which the Ukrainians together with Belgium put the best defensive of the entire European Championship qualification.
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"This is the most important game for us. Everyone knows we can increase the chance of surviving the group with a positive outcome. "
Andriy Shevchenko
The only goal in the group stage was surprisingly against Luxembourg. The small state went even in the meantime with 1: 0 in the lead and had to be defeated only after an own goal in the final minute of stoppage time with 1: 2. At home, however, Ukraine made another tough start against Luxembourg and only managed a narrow 1-0 victory.
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After the 5-0 victory over Serbia, the performance at home against the Luxembourg selection was surprising. With a home win over Lithuania, the Shevchenko team now set the course for the European Championship 2020. At home, the Ukrainians have recently won four competitive games and conceded not a single goal.
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The Ukrainian team will meet Portugal second after the match against Lithuania. Compared to the last squad there were some changes in the Ukrainians. How Andriy Shevchenko will let his team play against Lithuania, is not yet clear. Last was put on the offensive on Tsyhankov, Moraes and Yarmolenko. The midfield trio, however, formed Kovalenko, Malinovsky and Zinchenko.
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In the last but very strong defense, there are likely to be no changes. If the yellow and blue continue to be as strong as before, a home win over Lithuania will be the purest routine. For a Ukraine against Lithuania tip on the home side waving odds of just 1:10.
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Expected formation of Ukraine:
Piatov - Mykolenko, Matviienko, Kryvtsov, Bolbat - Malinovskyi, Stepanenko, Zinchenko - Yarmolenko, Yaremchuk, Marlos
Last matches of Ukraine:
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10.09.2019 - Ukraine vs. Nigeria 2: 2 (International Friendlies)
07.09.2019 - Lithuania Vs. Ukraine 0: 3 (European Championship Qualification)
10.06.2019 - Ukraine vs. Luxembourg 1: 0 (European Championship Qualification)
07.06.2019 - Ukraine vs. Serbia 5: 0 (European Championship Qualification)
25.03.2019 - Luxembourg vs. Ukraine 1: 2 (European Championship Qualification)
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Lithuania - Statistics & Current Form
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Lithuania is the point supplier in Group B. As a group last Lithuanian selection has collected at least one defeat against each group opponent. At the home game against Luxembourg, there was the only point win for Lithuania. However, the fact that the Lithuanians are not playing any special role in the European Championship qualification has been demonstrated by the most recent qualifying results at the competitions.
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Since qualifying for the friendly against Sri Lanka in July 2018, Lithuania have been without an international success. Meanwhile, Lithuania has been without matches for twelve matches. Ten of the last twelve internationals have been lost. Only in the games against Luxembourg and Azerbaijan there were draws for the Lithuanian selection.
Lithuania have conceded a total of 12 goals in the last three internationals. In the five group matches, the Lithuanians have scored four goals, two of them in the games against Luxembourg. Surprisingly, Lithuania also scored in the group matches against Serbia and Portugal each scored a goal.
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Stars are searched in vain in the squad of the Lithuanians in vain. Most valuable player is currently Arvydas Novikovas, who is under contract with Legia Warsaw. A total of eleven legionaries were appointed to the upcoming internationals against Ukraine and Serbia in the national squad.
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Coach Valdas Urbonas has little to lose in the next few games, which is why his team can play freely. Due to the lack of quality in the squad, a surprise in Kharkiv will still be rather unrealistic. Even a scoring of the Urbonas Elf is rewarded with lucrative quotes.
Estimated formation of Lithuania:
Setkus - Andriuskevicius, Palionis, Girdvainis, Mikoliunas - Simkus - Verbickas, Vorobjovas, Kuklys, Slivka - Laukzemis
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Last matches of Lithuania:
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10.09.2019 - Lithuania Vs. Portugal 1: 5 (European Championship Qualification)
07.09.2019 - Lithuania Vs. Ukraine 0: 3 (European Championship Qualification)
10.06.2019 - Serbia vs. Lithuania 4: 1 (European Championship Qualification)
07.06.2019 - Lithuania Vs. Luxembourg 1: 1 (European Championship Qualification)
25.03.2019 - Azerbaijan vs. Lithuania 0: 0 (International Friendlies)
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Ukraine vs. Lithuania Direct Comparison
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The Ukrainian national team leads the direct comparison against Lithuania with a score of 6-1-2. For the first time since 2007, Ukraine and Lithuania met again in a competitive match in the first round of this year's European Championship qualifiers. Lithuania has been without a goal in the last three duels. The last game in Ukraine ended with a 4-0 victory for the home side.
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Ukraine vs. Lithuania Tip & Forecast - 11.10.2019
Shortly before the finish line the Ukrainians will not let the ticket for the European Championship 2020 be taken away. A home win against the last group from Lithuania should therefore not be a problem. With only one goal in the previous European Championship qualification, the Ukrainians are together with Belgium the strongest defensive.
Lithuania have only scored one point against Luxembourg to date and lost 3-0 in the first round match against Ukraine. In Kharkiv, therefore, before the game is only the question of how high the home win of Ukrainians in the end fails.
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Key Facts - Ukraine vs. Lithuania tip
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In Lithuania, the Ukrainian selection prevailed 3-0 against Lithuania.
With only one goal in the first five group matches, Ukraine are together with Belgium the strongest defensive of the previous European Championship qualification.
At home, the Ukrainians have won the last four competitive games in series.
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In the European Championship qualifier, the Ukrainians - the goalless draw against Portugal excluded - in each group match already scored in the first round at least one goal. In the games against Lithuania and Serbia even two goals were scored in the first half.
In Kharkov, we are expecting a home win by the home side and would put Ukraine in the lead against Lithuania for good odds on more than 1.5 goals in Ukraine in the first round. For this we set five out of ten possible units.
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Vorschau
Die Türkei führt immer noch die Gruppe an und führt einen erbitterten Kampf mit Frankreich um die Führung. Um an der Spitze zu bleiben, musst du starke Albaner besiegen.
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Die Türkei
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Die Leistung der Türken kann als Sensation dieser Gruppe angesehen werden, denn nur wenige konnten sich Frankreich überhaupt nicht vorstellen. Immerhin sind nicht zwei oder drei Runden vergangen, sondern bereits sechs, und die dreifarbige Führung der Türkei ist immer noch nicht minderwertig. Außerdem wurde der Hauptkonkurrent in seinem Feld mit einem überzeugenden Ergebnis von 2: 0 geschlagen, was die Position des Teams nur stärkt. In den letzten Jahren war der türkische Fußball nicht in bester Verfassung: Ältere Rennen überfluteten die heimische Meisterschaft, junge Spieler verblassten und hatten keine Zeit zum Auftakt. Jetzt ist die türkische Jugend abermals nach Europa geeilt und beweist sich dort: Soyunju, Kabak, Unal, Yaziji, Celik - sie spielen alle in hervorragenden Vereinen und sind nicht mehr in der letzten Rolle in der Nationalmannschaft. Der Beitritt der Türkei zum Euro kann sich als sehr interessante Geschichte herausstellen.
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Zu Hause spielen die Türken offensiven Fußball und das 4-2-3-1-Schema ist für die Mannschaft das Optimalste. Das Schicksal von herausragenden Spielern wie Chalkhanoglu, Tosun oder Malli in Clubs ist nicht gut, deshalb warten wir darauf, dass junge Leute Führungsqualitäten zeigen.
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Albanien
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In den letzten Jahren waren die Albaner als starke Mannschaft bekannt und sind ein anschauliches Beispiel für die These, dass "man gelernt hat, überall Fußball zu spielen". Der Aufstieg des kosovarischen, albanischen und mazedonischen Fußballs schafft unnötigen Wettbewerb, wenn nicht die Giganten, dann die bekannten Mittelbauern der internationalen Arena. In dieser Qualifikationsrunde liegt die albanische Mannschaft nach sechs Runden auf dem vierten Platz mit neun Punkten und nach einem Heimsieg über Island in der letzten Länderspielpause, in den Kampf um mindestens die dritte Linie der Gruppe eingeklemmt. Vier Tore gegen die traditionell organisierte Mannschaft Islands zeigten, dass die Albaner nicht nur vom Herd tanzen können, sondern auch den Platz kompetent nutzen und den Gegner bei schnellen Angriffen zerreißen. Auf dem Weg mit der Türkei kann genau dies eine Chance für Punkte geben.
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Es ist unwahrscheinlich, dass Albaner einen zusätzlichen Spieler in der Defensive vernachlässigen. Sie sollten also nicht mit einem Spiel in zwei Stürmer rechnen. 4-3-3 mit dem Übergang zu 4-5-1 im niedrigen Block - das ist die Formation, die wir von den Gästen am wahrscheinlichsten sehen werden.
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Ich bezweifle, dass die Mannschaften dem Publikum viele Ziele geben werden. In der letzten Begegnung gewann die Türkei mit einem 2: 0-Auswärtssieg, und in der Tat verfehlt die Mannschaft nur wenig - nur zwei Tore in sechs Begegnungen. Zu Hause haben die Türken sogar die Franzosen zu Null geschlagen, sodass es kaum zu bezweifeln ist, ob sie von hinten zuverlässig spielen können. Albaner auf der Straße sehen bedeutend schwächer aus als in ihren Heimatmauern. Ich denke, dass in der Türkei die Chancen der Mannschaft nicht so hoch sind, weil die Gastgeber alles tun werden, um die erste Reihe in der Gruppe zu halten.
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