Roma - Porto 02/12/2019 Free soccer tips
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Assists inhospitability
Should I cancel the rule of the away goal in European competition?
Midfielder Under will not play, and participation in the game of goalkeeper Olsen, midfielder Perotti and striker Manolas remains in question.
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Porto
"Dragons” have achieved the best indicator among the teams, the winners of the Champions League group round, scoring 16 points in six games.
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The footballers Sergius Conceisau lost only points with the German Schalke (1: 1) in the first round. Then the Portuguese only won.
Moscow "Lokomotiv” (4: 1 and 3: 1), Turkish "Galatasaray” (1: 0 and 3: 2) overcame in two meetings, as well as the German team in the return game - 3: 1.
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In the Portuguese championship, Porto leads the way, having scored 51 points in 21 matches and is four points ahead of Benfica, which has one meeting in reserve.
Forwards, Abubakar and Marega will miss the match due to injury, and the Crown will not play due to suspension.
Last time opponents met in the Champions League in the 2016/17 season, when they fought for the right to participate in the group stage. And then in the last qualifying round, "Porto” defeated "Roma” at the sum of two games. In Portugal, the teams tied with the score 1: 1, and in Italy the dragons smashed the wolves - 3: 0.
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Forecast
In the upcoming match, bookmakers give preference to the hosts: Roma win - 2.10, Porto win - 3.80, draw - 3.55.
The Roman team gives out not the best season, having problems in the championship of Italy and in the European region. The Portuguese, unlike their upcoming rival, are much more successful on all fronts.
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We predict that Porto should not lose in Rome, but we will re-insure and put a +1 on it.
You can also bet that 2-3 goals will be scored in this fight.
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Round of 16 first leg of the Champions League between AS Roma and FC Porto
The Champions League returns after a long winter break back. On Tuesday evening, in the Roman Olimpico Stadium, there will be a meeting between last year's semi-finalist AS Roma and the Portuguese series champion FC Porto. We would like to present you with a well-founded form analysis of both teams for this exciting first knockout first leg match and then offer you a tip recommendation.
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AS ROMA
2 victories and 1 defeat in the group stage in their own stadium
only 2 defeats this season at the Olympico Stadium
unbeaten for 6 league games
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FC PORTO
still unbeaten in this Champions League season
undisputed leader of the Primeira Division
total only 2 season defeats cashed
Current form AS Roma
Last year's semi-finalists showed this season that they can be counted on in the concert of the very big European clubs. Roma proved in the group stage that they always demanded their best performance in their home games. Viktoria Pilsen (5: 0) and CSKA Moscow (3: 0) were presented in a sovereign and dominant manner. The only home defeat conceded the captains against the reigning Champions League winner Real Madrid.
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In the round of 16, the Italians now get to do with the Portuguese series champion FC Porto. Both teams have faced each other four times. However, the captains do not have a very promising record - Porto won 2 duels in their favor and 2 clashes ended in a just draw. These are really no good sign for the first knockout round first leg. The AS Roma proved this season that last year's finalist in their home games always called for the best possible performance. In Serie A they have scored 6 wins and 4 draws in 11 home games. They only left the grass once without points. Roma can go into the round of 16 in the first leg of the quarter-final as they are unbeaten in the league for 6 rounds. 4 wins and 2 draws are the last results. Roma relied on Edin Dzeko in the group stage.
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The 32-year-old Bosnian center forward has always demonstrated his qualities and has given his team some victories with their previous 5 goals. Probably the only dark side this season is the clear and painful 1: 7 defeat against Fiorentina in the Coppa Italia. So far Roma scored 8 goals in 3 Champions League home games and the offensive players averaged 19.7 shots on goal. Roma is characterized by accurate and direct passing game - on average, the Italians 85.6% of all their passports a customer. Eusebio Di Francesco's team will do everything in their power to pave the way for the difficult return leg in Porto. Di Franceso has to do without the injured Diego Perotti (calf injury) and Cengiz Ünder (hamstring). If Dzeko is well staged by his team-mates, he could provide so many a successful moment. It remains to be seen how FC Porto presents itself in the first leg.
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Current form FC Porto
The Portuguese series champion is a truly serious opponent. So far, the currently undisputed league leaders of the Portuguese league in the Champions League was still without defeat. Of the 6 group games, the Portuguese decided 5 games in their favor. Galatasaray Istanbul (1: 0,2: 3), Lokomotiv Moscow (1: 3, 4: 1) and Schalke 04 (3: 1) were downright outclassed. So far, FC Porto scored 15 goals and conceded only 6 goals. The achievements so far should be enough for the AS Roma warning. Both in the Champions League, as well as in the Portuguese league, the reigning champions made the opponents look old. So far, they conceded only two season defeats. They have been unbeaten in the Primeira Division for as many as 14 rounds, and in the Portuguese Cup, Porto will face their semi-final first leg against SC Braga. (2/26/2019). Porto, like AS Roma, have a striker who scored his side's goals in the Champions League. Moussa Marega scored 5 goals in 6 games. Marega falls f
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Second place in the Champions League won the Romans without problems with 9 points and a goal difference of 11: 8 only Real was in the table ahead of the "wolves", representatives of the Czech Republic and Russia, Victoria and CSKA remained behind. In the Italian Serie A, in the last round, Roma Chievo defeated 3-0 on the road and with 38 points in the account he has 5-7 places with Atalanta and Lazio. The team Di Francesco plays strong in Rome and has won 9 wins in 4 games with 4 draws and 2 losses in 15 games of the season. The win-win Roma series in the domestic walls reaches 6 games, lasts from 2 December 2018 and has 4 wins and 2 draws.
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Porto won his autumn quartet in the Champions League, never lost and won 16 of 18 possible points with a goal difference of 15: 6. "Dragons" left Schalke, Galatasaray and Lokomotiv. In the Portuguese Championship, the team spent the last two games unsuccessful, with the same score 1: 1. Despite the loss of points remain "Dragons" with 51 points of assets and a goal difference of 42-12 the tip of Primeira. The current unbeaten Portuguese series consists of 26 games played on 19 October 2018, with 21 wins and 5 draws. This season, "dragons" had 18 fights of the season and lost only once with 5 draws and 12 wins.
Before the start of the European Cup, both teams show no stable and strong football. The Italians are strong in their home walls, while the Portuguese have not lost long in regular time, they played hard in Europe in the fall. Therefore I do not expect many goals in a match of the same opponents. Betting: TM3.
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Prognosis: TM (3) with a coefficient of 1.5
The meeting between Roma and Porto is the least interesting for a broad audience of the 1/8 Champions League. The Portuguese were only two times farther than the first round of the play-offs with the legendary victory in the final over Monaco in 2004, and they did not expect much from the Roma despite being in the semi-finals last year. It is obvious that it will be almost impossible to repeat such a success for the team of Eusebio Di Francesco. For one thing, she jumped over the head last season and the other - since then, the team has not become stronger.
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In the Italian championship, Roma are still fighting for a place in the top four - the wolves not only have the chance to compete with Juventus, but also with Napoli, who is second and 11 points behind Juve. In the group stage, the Dallorossi were also not impressed - they scored only nine points (six of them in games against CSKA) and continued mainly due to a coincidence. With the draw for the knockout stages, Roma were lucky, because among the winning teams there were options that were far more serious than Porto.
The Dragons have not lost a single game in the group stage, but this does not say so much about the strength of Sergio Conceição's team, but about the level of his rivals - Schalke, Lokomotiv and Galatasaray. Porto only lost 1-1 to the Germans in the first round and won the remaining five matches with a total score of 14-5. The situation is similar for the Portuguese - Roma are considered as a temporary rival, this is not Liverpool, Atletico or Manchester United.
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In the penultimate week Roma were destroyed in the Coppa Italia by Fiorentina 1: 7. For those who do not follow Series A, this result appears like a sentence. What makes the team that misses the middle peasant seven goals in the playoffs of the Champions League? However, if you take this result out of the brackets, it turns out that Volkov is not that bad. In the championship, Roma has not lost since December 22, but that was a defeat against Juventus, which is shunned in Italy by a few. Without taking this into account, the Roma had suffered a loss since October 20 - the Romans unexpectedly lost to Udinese.
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In the last six rounds - four wins, two draws (with Atalanta and Milan) - the goal difference is 15: 7. Roma is missing quite a bit (two dry matches in three months), but has scored more than two goals per game lately , And in his field, the Wolves, along with Napoli, have the best Serie A attack - 28 goals in 11 games. And only one defeat at Olimpiko - slept out in October. For three months in Rome, only Real won.
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In 2016, Roma flew in the qualification for the Champions League of Porto. At home, the team lost Luciano Spalletti 0: 3. More than two goals in his field wolves have not lost since August 2017, when they lost against Inter 1: 3. Despite all the problems Olimpiko Roma is still a very tough opponent, while Porto had problems with Moreirenš and Guimaraesh (1-1, 0-0). In another field, the dragons have not lost since October 7 (0-1 at Benfica), but they did not have opponents of the Roma level.
It's simple: If Roma wants to go further, you have to win at home and make a solid start. On the road, the team of Di Francesco has won only five of 16 games this season.
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Indicative compositions
Roma: Mirante-Florenzi, Manolas, Fazio, Kolarov-Pellegrini, De Rossi, Cristante-Zagnolo, Dzeko, El Shaaravi
Porto: Casillas - Militao, Felipe, Pepe, Telles - Herrera, Danilo, Torres - Corona, Tikinho, Brahimi
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ROMA - PORT. BETS ON THE WINNER
With this pair of bookmakers, the chances of the rivals are rated as about the same. At the same time, they prefer the home team in a single duel in Rome - bets on Roma winnings are accepted by a factor of 2.10, while Porto can be won at a rate of 3.60. Roma reached the Champions League playoffs from second place in Group G ahead of Victoria and CSKA. And she scored nine points - just two points more than the other two teams. Although secured the Romans in the second round prematurely and were able to afford two defeats in a row at the end of the group stage. By the way, none of the six games of the Roma in the Champions League ended in a draw - the stations of Eusebio di Francesco have won and lost three times.
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Porto reached the round of 16 as the winner of Group D, in which his competitors Schalke, Galatasaray and Lokomotiv were. The team of Sergio Conceisau scored 16 points in six games, scored five wins and had not suffered a single defeat. In addition, Porto scored 15 goals - only PSG and Manchester City scored more in the group stage. Owing to the fact that the Roma often do not keep up this season and the quality of the results is generally lower than last year, Porto have a good chance of reaching the quarter-finals of the Champions League. And certainly the Portuguese can expect at least one draw in the upcoming match in Rome.
ROMA - PORT. COMPETITION ON TARGETS
Porto have scored more than three goals in their last four games in the Champions League. At the same time, only in one of the six Roma bouts in the group of the main Eurocup was the performance among three targets. With such statistics, you can count on a large number of goals scored in a full-time meeting. This does not guarantee the identification of the winner. Maybe the game ends with a score of 2: 2 or even 3: 3.
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FINAL PROGNOSIS FOR THE MATCH ROMA - PORT:
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Roma is offered a factor of 2.10 in the bookmaker bookmaker's bookmaker line for a draw of 3.50 and 3.65 for Porto's victory. With odds of 1.47, you can bet on a win for Roma with a handicap of 0 and odds of 2.51 to win bets with a handicap of 0. In the market for goals with more than 2.5 goals you can bet with a factor of 1.85 and with a total of less than 2.5 goals can be delivered with a coefficient of 1.90.
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The games of Roma this season inspire neutral fans and become a difficult challenge for fans of the Roman club. "Wolves" wrestle heroically in the last few minutes, and after a week they lose the advantage of three goals. They win four games in a row and then fly 1-7 through the Italian Cup. Invariably with only one thing: "Roma" always scores. Especially if it is a home game. Although there were mistakes here: games with SPAL in Serie A and Real Madrid in the Champions League ended with defeats 0: 2. In battles with equal teams, the Romans but not without heads at home. In the spring of 2018 neither Barcelona nor Liverpool could hold back Edin Jacko.
"Porto" was only able to prevail once in the seven previous away games in the Champions League - in the first knockout round of the last sixteen draw against Liverpool (0: 0). If we take into account the away games of the Portuguese this season taking into account all the tournaments, then only "Benfica" (0: 1) and "Sporting" (0: 0) have held back the attack of "dragons". Another guarantee for such a bet could be the striker Moussa Marega, who has met Porto in the last five games in the Champions League.
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"ROMA" - "PORT". EXPERT PROGNOSIS OF BK COMPETITION:
Both teams score 1.75 points
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Most sports observers and bookmakers in this confrontation consider Roma favorites, as Eusebio Dm Francesco's team had a strong start-up practice prior to the Eurocup season and had qualified for second place in the quartet. Of course, Real Madrid was the leader of the group stage, in which the Romans missed both meetings, but in clashes with CSKA Moscow, Roma pushed the maximum and scored four unanswered goals and scored six points. Three more points went to the capital club after the defeat of Victoria Plzen, who by the way had also lost the wolves on the street. Nine points were enough, and now the Italians are incorporating the second level of complexity into their own field. In the last eight games in all tournaments, the players Di Francesco in the Italian Cup (1: 7) suffered only a single defeat against Fiorentina, although the Romans had previously shown an indefinite momentum and played with varying degrees of success. Roma recently defeated Chievo, scoring three goals with El Shaarawy, Alexandar Kolarov and Edina Dzeko. Everyone was ready for the match with Porto in full gear to win.
There are no visible changes in the Porto camp, but football experts and colleagues, Sergius Conceição, do not believe his boys can withstand the onslaught of the Italians. By the way, before the game was over, the Portuguese did not lose to the Romans and thanks to two full wins and two draws, they brought eight rating points to their fortunes. At the beginning of 2016, the club met in a similar phase of the tournament, and then managed the weak Roma to score only one goal for the Portuguese (1: 1 and 0: 3). Now the situation is changing dramatically, and in fact the guests can now catch up. Above all, Porto's Mentor relies on a dry game for an effective response at home.
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However, Betfair's Betfair betting specialist Betfair does not share Conceisau's plans and implies compulsory hosting. The bookie appreciated the home win of Rome at a rate of 2.05, although there is an option to increase the rate if you bet on a total of more than 2.5 Romans (kef 4.50). The above-mentioned Bosnian Edin Dzeko, who will be the top scorer of his club in the current Serie A championship, will wait for the right moment. As a result, Edin Jacko has a goal of 2.10 in each of the two halves.
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ROMA - PORT. FORECASTING THE LITERATURE OF BETFAIR EXPERT JAMI PACHECO:
Home win with any score, Edin Jacko-Tor at any time
Roma - Porto. Will put in total more than 2.5 goals
On Tuesday, February 12, at 23:00 (Moscow time), the round of 16 of the Champions League Roma - Porto will take place in the stadium of Olimpico.
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Roma - Porto. Betting on the outcome of the match in BC Parimatch
In the bookmaker Parimatch is proposed to bet on the victory of Roma with a coefficient of 2.07, on the victory of Porto with a coefficient of 3.75 and on a draw with a coefficient of 3.50. In this game, the favorite bookmakers name Roma, who defeated Chievo after three games without a win last weekend. However, it was a victory over the outsider of the championship of Italy. For the more serious rivals, however, the Romans regularly have problems. Suffice to say, Roma conceded 13 goals in four games before playing Chievo. Considering that Porto will not lose 26 official games, it is more profitable to bet against the favorite in this case.
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Roma - Porto. Parimatch extras
At bookmaker Parimatch you can use Roma with a handicap (0) with a factor of 1.50 or a handicap with a handicap (0) with a factor of 2.70. Bets totaling more than 2.5 goals at a rate of 1.96 and less than 2.5 goals at a rate of 1.90 are also accepted. In nine of the last ten matches of the Roma in the Champions League, he scored more than two goals. And Porto scored more than three goals in 9 of their 14 previous games in the Eurocup. This means you can expect high performance rather than low performance. And betting on a total of more than 2.5 goals in this case look extremely profitable. In addition, you can bet on the victory of handicapped guests (+0,5) with a coefficient of 1,81.
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Roma - Porto. Betting Tips in Parimatch BC:
• Porto win with a handicap (+0.5) (odds 1.81);
• A total of more than 2.5 goals (coefficient 1.96).
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ROMA - PORT
In the European Cup, Roma has never won the Porto (= 2: 2): In the 1981/82 season, she flew to a meeting with the Portuguese in the second round of the Cup and lost the Porto in the playoff of the Champions League a year ago ;
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Porto lost six of seven away games in the Champions League against clubs from Italy. The exception was a meeting with Milan in September 1996, which Porto won with a score of 3-2;
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In the last eight Champions League appearances Roma reached the playoffs of the tournament for the seventh time. Last season, she won all three home games in the playoff tournament.
Since 2004, when Porto won the Champions League, he was only able to go beyond the knockout stages (in the 2008/09 and 2014/15 seasons) twice and failed to reach the quarter-finals.
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Porto won none of the five previous games in the playoffs of the Champions League (= 1-4). He has not scored a single goal in the last four meetings;
Porto is one of five teams that have not suffered a single defeat in the group stage of the Champions League alongside Ajax, Barcelona, Bayern and Lyon.
Porto won five games in the Champions League - the team's longest winning streak in the tournament;
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Porto have lost none of the five previous away fixtures in the Champions League (+ 2 = 3). For the first time since the 2003-04 season, his away-from-home win series can reach six meetings;
In this Champions League rally Porto received eight penalties (4 for Porto and 4 for his opponents) - at least twice as many as in the games of another team;
All his goals in this Champions League draw scored Roma punches from the penalty area (11 of 11). There are only two teams in the playoffs who have not scored long-range bouts: Bayern (15 out of 15 after strikes outside the box) and Liverpool (9 out of 9);
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Edin Dzeko scored eight goals for the last five matches of the Champions League at Stadio Olimpico. In general, he scored 15 goals for Roma in the main European Cup. Club record belongs to Francesco Totti (17 goals);
Forward Porto Moussa Marega scored in the last five games of the Champions League. This is the longest running series in the tournament. At the same time he was only the fourth African, scoring goals in five consecutive matches of the Champions League. Previously, it was possible for George Weah, Didier Drogba and Marouane Chamakh.
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FORECASTING MATCH ROMA - PORT FOR STATISTICS:
Both teams score and the home team win again with Edin Jacko.
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