Riga vs. Malmö: Tips, Prognosis & Odds - 13.07.2021 - EUROPE: Champions League - qualification
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Riga vs. Malmö: Tips, Prognosis & Odds - 13.07.2021 - EUROPE: Champions League - qualification
Does Malmö leave nothing to be desired in Latvia?
In the qualification for the Champions League group stage, there are some unequal duels, especially in the first rounds, in which the question of the favorite does not actually arise. Even in the match between Riga and Malmö, the odds in the run-up to the kick-off suggest that the reigning Swedish champions should have the upper hand under normal circumstances.
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The team of the former Bundesliga professional Jon Dahl Tomasson not only has significantly more individual quality, but also has the advantage on their side that the first leg was won 1-0 a week ago. Against this background, the prognosis between Riga and Malmö is to be ventured that the guests could benefit from the inevitably more offensive approach of the home side.
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At the same time, it should be taken into account that due to the elimination of the away goal rule, a 2: 1 would be enough for the supposed underdog to extend the game. Even in the event of a deficit, it can be assumed that the Latvians are looking for their chance in the game forward and that there is room for the countering Scandinavians. This fact makes even a tip on the handicap success of the favorite in the first round second leg between Riga and Malmö interesting.
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Riga - statistics & current form
It was only in 2014 that the new FC Riga was launched as such in the Latvian capital. The first successes at national level were not long in coming. Two years after the first promotion to the upper house, the first championship was celebrated in 2018. The title was defended in 2019 and 2020.
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For the third consecutive season, the blue-whites will qualify for the UEFA Champions League. So far, it has not gone beyond the first round. In 2019/20 the end came very close to the Irish representative Dundalk; last year Maccabi Tel Aviv was a size too big. There are many indications that no prognosis on the progress of the Latvian champions will pay off between Riga and Malmö.
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Riga must turn a 0-1 from the first leg
On the one hand, this is of course due to the fact that the first leg was lost 1-0 in the previous week and coach Andris Reherts' team therefore needs a win to at least get into extra time. On the other hand, the current state of the capital club is anything but ideal. In the domestic league, for example, two of the past four matches were lost. In the rankings, it is currently only enough for second place and that is only due to the higher number of games played.
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The hoped-for upswing under the new coach, who took over the scepter in Riga at the beginning of June, seems to have been used up after the latest two 0-1 defeats at the latest. Because these results also make it clear that the offensive efforts have mostly not been reflected on the scoreboard recently, we are skeptical about the chances of the underdog in the second leg.
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The Latvian champions have to play forward and could get the receipt in the form of one or two goals. It should be noted, however, that Riga has never conceded more than one goal in its own stadium in the history of Europe. Due to the changed away goal regulation, however, the signs are different. The fact that the young Nigerian Muritala, the most dangerous attacker after Stefan Milosevic's departure, will not be available after being sent off in the first leg, makes the undertaking even more difficult.
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Expected formation of Riga:
Ozols - Rugins, Cernomordijs, Vranjanin, Petersons - Piscevic, Paurevic - Brisola - Fjodorvs, Mbombo, Soisalo
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Malmö - statistics & current form
The Swedish championship paused from the end of May to the beginning of July in order to create a level playing field during the European championship. This roughly six-week break was definitely noticeable in the reigning national champion last week in the qualifying first leg at home against Riga.
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Against a low Latvian team, it took until the 50th minute before Antonio Colak scored the redeeming 1-0 for the favorite. Instead of marking a second goal in the following 40 minutes and thus improving their own starting position, it was a measly success against ten Balts, which certainly harbors dangers for the second leg on Tuesday evening.
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Malmö is slowly finding the rhythm
For several reasons, we would still allude to the odds on the Swedes between Riga and Malmö. For example, the light blue and whites are getting better and better after the break and were able to celebrate a never-endangered 4-0 victory in the league at the weekend. Thereby the top position was temporarily taken over again.
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In addition, the team of coach Tomasson should also play the fact in the cards that the opponent must act much more offensively than a week ago. The individually stronger record champions, who only failed in the Europa League playoffs to Granada in 2020/21 and always reached at least the second round in all Champions League qualifications, will have rooms that Colak and Co. want to take advantage of.
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If an early goal is scored, as we assume, a higher success with two or more goals difference is possible in any case. There won't be many changes compared to the starting line-up from the first leg. It is quite possible, however, that the most valuable midfielder Christiansen will return to the starting line-up. The Dane was missing from the home game, but got minutes again as a joker at the weekend and scored promptly
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Expected formation of Malmö:
Dahlin - Knudsen, Ahmedhodzic, Brorsson, Bejimo - Innocent, Lewicki - Rieks, Christensen, Berget - Colak
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Direct comparison / H2H
The first leg last week was the first and only meeting of these two clubs so far. As already mentioned several times, Malmö narrowly but deservedly won 1-0, but should not have been satisfied with the result in view of the long excess of around 50 minutes. By the way, the Swedes remained undefeated in their fifth European Cup match against a Latvian representative (three wins, two draws).
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Bet base forecast & Latvia Riga - Malmö Sweden tip
The elimination of the away goals rule will bring about far-reaching changes in UEFA competitions from this 2021/22 season. Until the end, supposedly defeated teams will seek their salvation on the offensive, in order to escape into overtime in the event of a tie after 180 minutes of play, regardless of the number of goals scored abroad.
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At the same time, however, we also expect that one or the other match can swing even more clearly in one direction. Before the second leg between Riga and Malmö, the betting odds suggest, for example, that the light blue-whites won't burn much after the 1-0 win from the previous week. The logical arguments are the higher individual quality and the fact that the Swedes will not meet an exclusively deep and defending opponent this time.
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Because Coach Tomasson's team has been getting better and better after the long break during the European Championship and one or two top performers are returning to the squad, we risk the tip before the second leg Riga vs. Malmö that the Scandinavians this time with two or win more goals difference.
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Riga are not in the best shape, have lost their last two competitive games and have failed to score on both occasions. The necessarily more offensive approach is also not for the underdog, which is why we see value in the odds on a handicap success. We play 2.10 at Interwetten with a stake of five units. We also refer to the still valid Interwetten voucher campaign for new and existing customers.
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