RB Leipzig vs. Wolfsburg: Tipp, Prognose & Quoten -16.05.2021 - GERMANY: Regionalliga Bayern
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RB Leipzig vs. Wolfsburg: Tipp, Prognose & Quoten -16.05.2021 - GERMANY: Regionalliga Bayern
The clash between RB Leipzig and VfL Wolfsburg, which many traditionalists like to denounce as "El Plástico", will take place for the 15th time this weekend. There was no other opponent that the team from Central City competed more often than against Lower Saxony, for whom there is still a lot at stake on the penultimate matchday in the Bundesliga.
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As currently third in the rankings, the wolves should not allow themselves to slip up in the fight for the Champions League, unless they want a final showdown in the coming week. The bookmakers consider it relatively unlikely that a forecast of the away win between RB Leipzig and Wolfsburg will pay off, even though the Nagelsmann team suffered a low blow on Thursday evening.
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The Saxons lost the DFB Cup final against Borussia Dortmund with 1: 4 and could still have to nibble a few days later. However, since we assume that the team wants to give the outgoing coach a conciliatory farewell in his last RB home game and generally also the statistics speak for the red bulls, a home win definitely seems to be possible.
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In view of the one or the other uncertainty before this duel, attractive odds for the current second in the table are offered at RB Leipzig against Wolfsburg. For example, a 2.25 can be found at the top using the Interwetten app. This promises a reasonable value, especially since RBL has one of the strongest home teams in the league this season.
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RB Leipzig - statistics & current form
When asked what the goal for the remaining two games in the Bundesliga was, coach Julian Nagelsmann answered after the lost cup final in his usual ironic way: "lose twice". It should be clear that the extremely ambitious future Bayern coach does not want to end his short era in the central city exclusively with bankruptcies. Above all, Nagelsmann wants to win the last home game, even if it takes place again without spectators.
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To justify the tip on the home win between RB Leipzig and Wolfsburg, a look at the home balance is sufficient. The red bulls have won eleven of their 16 home games so far. No team conceded fewer goals in their own stadium than the Saxons (eleven), who would like to set their own point record at the weekend. The previous year's semi-finalist in the Champions League currently holds 64 points. The 67 points in the 2016/17 season can therefore still be cracked. This would also be a great success for Nagelsmann personally, as a Bundesliga coach he has scored a maximum of 66 points after 34 match days.
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Can RBL motivate itself again?
Regardless of the remarkable record in their own stadium, of course, the question of the extent to which the lost cup final on Thursday still has an impact must be dealt with. A certain drop in tension cannot be avoided and yet it became clear in the second section against BVB that this team is mentally very strong, does not give up and now wants to show all the critics in the Bundesliga again what it is capable of.
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For this reason, we are optimistic that the prognosis for the home win between RB Leipzig and Wolfsburg will come true. This is also supported by the fact that the home side have only won against Hertha BSC and FC Augsburg more often than against VfL. The excellent defense with only 28 goals conceded and already 15 clean sheets (each league top value) provide sufficient evidence to trust Coach Nagelsmann's team, who will certainly make changes in the starting eleven.
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With the exception of Adams and Szboszlai, all actors are presumably on board. The list will, however, largely depend on which professionals the trainer trusts to deliver the best possible performance. Angelino, Nkunku, Poulsen, Forsberg, Orban or Henrichs, who all sat on the bench or even in the stands in the final, are potential alternatives for the starting XI.
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Expected formation of RB Leipzig:
Gulacsi - Klostermann, Upamecano, Orban - Henrichs, Kampl, Sabitzer, Angelino - Nkunku, Forsberg - Poulsen
Wolfsburg - statistics & current form
VfL Wolfsburg can already crown a very successful season on Sunday evening. If the wolves win their away game in the Red Bull Arena, then they can no longer take part in the Champions League. In view of the three point lead over Eintracht Frankfurt and the ten goals better goal difference, even a three on the remaining two match days is enough for Lower Saxony to return to the largest European football stage.
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Many goals in the duel of the most stable defensive rows?
To make matters worse, the green-whites have not been particularly successful against RB Leipzig so far. Only against SSV Ulm and Eintracht Braunschweig did the Autostadters score fewer goals on average than against the red bulls (0.78) in the long history of the Bundesliga. At 2: 2 in the first half of the current season, two hits against the upstart were scored for the first time.
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Although the fact that the two best defensive rows in the league will face each other on Sunday evening should actually speak in favor of looking at the odds on under-goals between RB Leipzig and Wolfsburg, we believe in an open exchange of blows, which is of course due to the initial situation. The Glasner-Elf doesn't have much to lose and will play for victory; RBL should not be averse to an offensive festival either. A 1.72 can therefore be tapped on the Over 2.5 via the Unibet app.
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In terms of personnel, the Austrian head coach, who has recently been linked to Eintracht Frankfurt from time to time, has to do without the injured Bialek and Steffen. Otherwise, all men are ready and highly motivated to play to zero again for the first time since mid-February in a foreign country.
Expected formation of Wolfsburg:
Casteels - Mbabu, Lacroix, Brooks, Paulo Otavio - X. Schlager, Arnold - R. Baku, Philipp, Brekalo - Weghorst
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Leipzig - Wolfsburg: Direct Comparison / H2H
Nine of the total of 14 encounters so far took place in the German House of Lords. The majority of these matches ended in a draw (four). RB Leipzig landed three successes, VfL won twice. In the Red Bull Arena, too, the balance is just in favor of the Saxons (2-1-1), whose only defeat dates back to the 2016/17 season. The first leg of the current season was not for the faint of heart. After 90 intense minutes with seven yellow cards, the clubs parted with a 2-2 draw.
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Betting base forecast & Germany RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg Germany tip
How did RB Leipzig put away the 1: 4 swatter in Thursday's cup final? This is the all-important question before Julian Nagelsmann's last home game on the RB bench. If we believe the betting odds between RB Leipzig and Wolfsburg, then the bookmakers are relatively certain that the defeat in the final will not have a major impact on the match on Sunday.
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We share this assumption and justify it, among other things, with the fact that there is still a lot of life and morality in the team. In addition, the trainer will find the right words and the suitable staff to secure second place in the classification. If the Saxons lose, the lead over the wolves shrinks to one point
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Apart from that, there is greater pressure on the wolves, who do not want to give up in the fight for the Champions League. After two wins and two defeats in the last four away games, we are skeptical whether the Autostädter - also in view of the internal unrest - can take something away from one of the best home teams in the league.
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We therefore decide between RB Leipzig and Wolfsburg for the tip on the home win and risk using six units. A stake increase may even be possible. Namely, if you use the Interwetten voucher in May 2021. As a new or existing customer, you will receive € 11 without a deposit!
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