Famalicao vs. Braga tip, prognosis & odds 03/15/2021 - Primeira Liga Free soccer tips
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Famalicao - Braga tip, prognosis and odds - Primeira Liga
Portuguese football is upside down in the 2020/21 season. For the first time in what feels like an eternity, there is a high probability that there will be another master again. Behind it, however, the fight is extremely exciting and the second CL starting position degenerates into a three-way fight. Surprisingly, the team from Braga currently has the best chances for the runner-up championship. This weekend there will be a "David versus Goliath" duel between Famalicao and Braga.
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Last season, Famalicao was still the big surprise as a climber and, as a blatant underdog, was even allowed to flirt at times with qualifying for Europe. This season it's all about survival in the Primeira Liga, a point win against a top team like Braga would definitely be a big surprise.
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The best bookmakers offer betting odds of over 5.00 for the home win at the match Famalicao vs. Braga on Monday evening, while the favorite win is only offered with a 1.60-1.65. The duel between the relegation candidate and the CL contender will kick off on Monday at 9:15 p.m.
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Famalicao - Statistics & Current Form
As a promoted team, head coach Joao Pedro Sousa's team was never worse than seventh in 2019/20. In the final bill, the blatant underdog finally took an excellent sixth place and only missed the sensational qualification for the European competitions by a very thin margin. As a team with many no-names, mostly only loan players, Famalicao convinced on the whole line.
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Only one home win in the 2020/21 season
Due to the return of the many loan players and departures like those of Pedro Goncalves (the midfielder is the top scorer at Sporting Lisbon with 15 goals), the 2020/21 team can no longer be compared with the team from the previous year. A look at the current squad shows that with the exception of Riccielli, Patrick William, Gustavo Assuncao and Anderson Silva, all (!) Players have been newly signed or have been loaned out.
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The best placement this season was the eighth place in the table after ten league games, meanwhile Famalicao has been on a relegation place since the 16th matchday and has to tremble mightily about the league's whereabouts. A total of only four league games could be won in 2020/21, the only home win on November 7th against Maritimo Funchal (2-1).
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Change of coach does not bring the desired success
At the end of January, coach Joao Pedro Sousa had to vacate his post at the underdog after a year and a half, followed by Silas for a few weeks. But his engagement lasted just five weeks - after only six games (1-2-3 balance), this experiment was declared over again.
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In the home game against Braga, 45-year-old Ivo Vieira will sit on Famalicao's bench for the first time. In view of only two points behind the saving bank, relegation is by no means absurd. However, even a point win against the CL aspirant would be a surprise. In the betting base odds comparison, Famalicao vs. Braga has 1X odds around 2.30 for the prognosis of the double chance.
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Expected formation of Famalicao:
Luiz Junior - Babic, Quieros, Riccieli - Vinagre, Pepe, Kraev, Dias - Lukovic - Guedes, Tavares
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Braga - statistics & current form
The Sporting Lisbon championship becomes more likely with each game. The green lions are currently dominating the league at will. But in 2020/21 there could not only be a new champion, it could actually be that neither Benfica Lisbon nor FC Porto reach a top two place. The two-time Portuguese cup winner is currently in excellent shape and has overtaken the two well-known competitors after losing points.
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22 out of 24 possible points
Although the Portuguese clearly lost out in the first knockout round of the UEFA Europa League against AS Roma with two defeats (total score 1: 5), one success follows the next in the domestic league. In the last eight games, head coach Carlos Carvalhal's team collected no less than 22 of a possible 24 points. Only in the top game against FC Porto Braga had to be content with a 2-2 draw. However, this was a point won after Braga scored the equalizer in minutes 87 and 94.
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The CL contender is by no means lacking in self-confidence these days and in view of the completely different form curve, the tip on the guests at Famalicao vs. Braga is obvious. While Braga scored 19 times in the last eight games (top value), Famalicao, bottom of the table, scored just two (!) Goals in this period.
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Balance as strength
There is no doubt that Braga would definitely lose out with Porto or Benfica in a squad comparison. Even so, Braga have proven to be extremely uncomfortable opponents for the top teams for many years. The big names cannot be found, but Braga convinces with a team that is very balanced.
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Carlos Carvalhal doesn't have a player who is responsible for 15+ goals, rather the entire offensive is always good for one goal. This means that the offensive game is extremely variable. Due to the many Brazilians in the team, Braga is technically perfect and plays extremely pleasant football.
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In terms of personnel, the failure of center-back David Carmo is currently hurting. The 21-year-old has had an outstanding season before he broke his ankle in the top game against FC Porto and will be out for a long time. In addition to Carmo, the failure of the ex-Nuremberg Iuri Medeiros also hurts.
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Expected formation of Braga:
Matheus - Vitor Tormena, Bruno Rodrigues, Sequeira - Galeno, Al Musrati, Fransergio, Esgaio - Horta, Piazon - Ruiz
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Direct comparison / H2H
A total of 13 top division games between the two teams can be found in the database so far. However, between 1994 and 2019 there were no direct duels for 25 years. As a newcomer, Famalicao was able to achieve two remarkable draws against the Portuguese top club (2: 2 and 0: 0) last season. Favorite Braga won the first season duel of the current season 1-0 at the beginning of November.
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Should the favorite prevail on Monday evening at the Estadio Municipal de Famalicao, this would be a first, as Braga has not yet won a single away game against the underdog.
Betting base forecast & Portugal Famalicao - Braga Portugal tip
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The current round of Portuguese club football will end with a duel of differences. Last season, the difference in points between the two teams was only six points, currently the home side have 30 points less (!) On the credit side than the guests. The starting position is accordingly clear and the prognosis for the guests is absolutely obvious on the 1X2 market between Famalicao and Braga.
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The last few weeks in particular have made the current difference in quality clear. While Famalicao only scored five points in eight games (with only two goals scored), Braga have scored 22 out of a possible 24 points during that period. Even if Famalicao made another coaching change, a positive result against the Carvalhal-Elf is not to be expected.
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Rather, at Famalicao against Braga, the tip on a handicap victory for the guests or the bet on half-time / final score 2/2 is a very lucrative option. Braga was in the lead at halftime in seven of the eleven away games so far, so the HT / FT 2/2 bet with six units is recommended.
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