BOSNIA - HERZEGOVINA VS. MONTENEGRO: TIPS, PROGNOSIS & ODDS - 02.06.2021 - WORLD: International friendly games
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BOSNIA - HERZEGOVINA VS. MONTENEGRO: TIPS, PROGNOSIS & ODDS - 02.06.2021 - WORLD: International friendly games
Derby mood in the test match between Bosnia-Herzegovina and Montenegro - analysis
Since the countries of Bosnia-Herzegovina and Montenegro border each other, there will be a certain derby mood at the upcoming friendly between the two nations. Bosnia-Herzegovina has the home advantage on their side and is the favorite. Since November 2019 the "Ljiljani zlatni” have been waiting for a win. That is why we tend to bet on double chances in a direct duel in favor of Montenegro.
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Will Bosnia-Herzegovina remain without a win in their 12th game in a row?
As part of a test match, Bosnia-Herzegovina and Montenegro will meet on Wednesday, June 2nd, 2021 at 6:00 p.m. The two nations made a completely different impression at their last international matches. While the hosts have been without a win for 11 games, the guests from Montenegro only lost one of their last 6 appearances.
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The only duel between the two neighboring nations so far ended in a goalless draw in 2018. Will Bosnia-Herzegovina remain without a win against Montenegro and will the clash between the two teams be rather unspectacular? The venue for the friendly will be the Grbavica Stadium in Sarajevo.
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Bosnia Herzegovina
- 11 international matches without a win
- 3 defeats from the last 4 home games
- scored no goal in the last 5 home games
- under 2.5 goals in the last 5 games at home
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Montenegro
- only 2 losses from the last 12 games
- unbeaten away since the end of 2019
- under 2.5 goals in 3 of the last 6 games
- the so far only duel with Bosnia-Herzegovina ended 0-0
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Bosnia-Herzegovina has not won a victory since 2019
After Bosnia-Herzegovina was part of the Yugoslav Football Association for a long time, the nation has had an independent national team since 1992. Due to this still young history, the 2014 World Cup is so far the only major tournament in which Bosnia-Herzegovina has participated.
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The upcoming European Championship will be missed again by the "Ljiljani zlatni”. In a qualifying group with, among others, Italy, Finland and Greece, they ended up only in 4th place. Then they fell into a mental hole and have been without a win since the end of 2019. As a result, they haven't found any of the last 11 games to be found in their favor. The Bosnians will play a friendly against Montenegro next Wednesday. They are favorites against the neighboring nation.
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The Bosnians were goalless in 3 of their last 4 games
The offensive by Bosnia-Herzegovina made a pretty harmless impression at the past internationals. The "Ljiljani zlatni” remained goalless in 3 of the last 4 games. At home, the statistics are even more worrying. They haven't scored a goal for 5 home games.
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Since their defense was not too vulnerable on the other side, these 5 games all ended with under 2.5 goals. As part of the World Cup qualification, the Bosnians recently suffered a narrow 1-0 defeat against France. In group D they are currently not getting above 4th place. With this final placement, they would also miss the upcoming World Cup.
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Montenegro lost only 1 of their last 6 games
The state of Montenegro was part of the Federation of Serbia and Montenegro until 2006 and also took part in the World Cup that year under this union. Since 2007, Montenegro has been independent and a full UEFA member. Since then, the nation has never taken part in a major tournament.
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The upcoming finals of the European Championship will miss the "Sokoli" as they finished last in their qualifying group. After the missed qualification, however, a more successful period began for them. They only lost 2 of their last 12 games. Although they mostly had to compete against qualitatively poorer teams, this strong record will give them self-confidence for the tasks ahead.
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Away from home, the "Sokoli" have been unbeaten since the end of 2019
Montenegro conceded the two defeats within this period in their own country. Away, the "Sokoli" have been unbeaten since the end of 2019. 3 of the last 4 guest appearances could even be made victorious. One of the stars of the team is captain and attacker Stevan Jovetic.
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Overall, however, the Montenegrin offensive cannot be rated so strong that it could constantly deliver a peat festival against opponents of equal value. In 3 of the last 4 games there were therefore a maximum of 2 hits. In the upcoming friendly against Bosnia-Herzegovina, Montenegro will be an outsider. So far, the adjoining nations have faced each other for the time being. There was a goalless draw in a friendly in 2018.
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Betting tip and forecast
With odds below 2.0, Bosnia-Herzegovina will be the favorites against Montenegro next Wednesday. However, we feel that these odds are too low when you consider that the Bosnians have been without a win for 11 international matches.
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On the other hand, the selection of Montenegro lost only 2 of the past 12 games. So we don't think it's very unlikely that the underdog will get at least one draw. According to our analysis, we prefer the double chance bet X / 2 in derby. Slightly higher odds are given for the draw no bet variant.
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For the number of goals in the game, we are assuming less than 2.5. In the past 5 home games, Bosnia-Herzegovina has remained goalless. These 5 games ended with the maximum number of hits we favored.
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