Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid tip, prognosis & odds 03/07/2021 - La Liga Free soccer tips
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Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid tip, prognosis & odds - La Liga
Preliminary decision in the fight for the championship in Spain's La Liga, or at least 'Hay Liga' (in German, for example: there is a title fight), as the Spaniard puts it so beautifully.
That is written above the much anticipated Derby Madrileño, which will be fought on Sunday evening. Leader of the table Atletico welcomes pursuers Real - with a win you can distance the unloved city rivals in the table or maybe even miss the Los Blancos the knockout blow.
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Because if Atletico wins their home game, the Rojiblancos would have a whopping eight points advantage. At the same time, Real can move up to two points. And while the two title contenders duel, FC Barcelona can become the laughing third in the league.
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A more than exciting starting position. At the Derby Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid, this was also made clear by the betting odds of the best betting providers, which are very balanced.
Of course, the exciting city derby between championship leader Atletico and pursuers Real Madrid will also be the focus in episode 20 of our Talk & Tips podcast. As always, our two experts will give their expert assessments of Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid, including tips and prognoses. So it's worth listening to!
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Direct comparison / H2H
A home win against Real would be a big step towards the championship for Atletico, how difficult this step will be, but the latest record shows. Because Atletico has not been able to win against Blancos for nine league games.
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There were four defeats and five draws during this time, the last two games they lost to zero, both times in a guest appearance at Real. The first time they met this season, it was 0-2 at the Estadio Alfredo di Stefano.
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But even at home there was no triple point win against the city rivals in the last four games. So is Atletico's black streak going on? If you believe in it, the tip on the double chance X2 is recommended for Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid. Or Real wins and both score - because the value on it is extraordinarily lucrative.
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Finally, the overall record in La Liga also speaks in favor of Los Blancos, who won more than half of the 167 league derbies (89). In contrast, there are only 39 Atletico wins and 39 draws.
Spain Atletico Madrid - statistics & current form
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Meanwhile, the signs of an Atletico victory were seldom much better than in this season. Atletico are the best team in Spain, five points ahead, the best defensive La Ligas, the fewest defeats and the best home record of all teams.
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So powerful arguments to make the prognosis on the home side before Atletico vs. Real Madrid. But be careful: the latest form of rojiblancos is not exactly great. Of the last six competitive games, they only won two. In the league they recently failed three times, including in the two most recent home games against Celta Vigo (2-2) and Levante (0-2).
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Trembling victory in Villarreal ends negative run
The 2-0 win in Villarreal last weekend was an important win against a European Cup aspirant, which should give Atleti confidence before the derby. However, Diego Simeone's team was once again unable to convince and was also a bit lucky.
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The hosts from Villarreal were actually overwhelmingly superior, but despite 19 to six shots on goal and 63 percent possession of the ball, they failed to defeat Atletico, they also made an unfortunate own goal and hit the post themselves.
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So Atletico is shaking worryingly at the moment, so the decisive question will be: How do you deal with the pressure in the Derby? Because being the hunted is unusual for the Simeone team, Atletico naturally feels uncomfortable in the role of favorites. Simeone always prefers to bet on the underdog card.
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Whoever goes into a decisive duel as the leader of the table and the best home team (record: 9 wins / 2 draws / 1 defeat) is not necessarily considered an underdog.
Expected formation of Atletico Madrid:
Oblak - Savic, Hermoso, Felipe - Vrsaljko, Koke, Saul, Lodi, Llorente - Felix, Suarez
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Real Madrid stats & current form
Given Atletico's shaky form and their own record against their city rivals, Real Madrid will certainly expect a win in the derby.
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Before Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid, the odds on three points of the guests are lucrative, on average there are 2.80 from the various betting offices. However, the endeavor will be extremely difficult against the best home team in Spain - not only because of Atleti's strength in the Wanda Metropolitano.
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Because Real has to do without many important top performers. For example, captain and defense chief Sergio Ramos, winger Eden Hazard and center forward Karim Benzema are likely to continue injured, all three have been out for weeks.
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Injury misery: Zidane no longer has a center forward
Since Benzema substitute Mariano Diaz also recently injured himself in a 1-1 draw against Real Sociedad last Monday, coach Zinedine Zidane no longer has a trained center forward in the squad!
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In the meantime, for example, Zidane tried the 1-0 success in the Champions League at Atalanta Bergamo with Isco as the wrong nine. This variant is conceivable again, but against Atletico's snappy and massive defense, it is probably not the best option.
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So it is quite possible that Zidane will call center forward Hugo Duro from the second team and let it play from the start. The 21-year-old was recently substituted on several times and already has top division experience under his belt, having played for Getafe CF last season.
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Since right-back Dani Carvajal is still missing, Zidane has to improvise in some key positions - not exactly good omens for an away win at the front runners.
Expected formation of Real Madrid:
Courtois - Vazquez, Varane, Fernandez, Mendy - Casemiro, Kroos, Modric - Asensio, Duro, Vinicius Jr.
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Bet base forecast & Spain Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid Spain tip
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How much risk are both teams taking in this derby? That is the question before the Derbi Madrileño, which can be a decisive game in the title fight. Given that they are currently five points behind (even one game more), Real Madrid should actually play for victory, Atletico should be able to live much better with a draw.
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But the injury misery at Real ensures that the royal go into this key duel badly decimated. For them, winning points could therefore be more than okay, after all, in all likelihood you will even compete without a trained center forward.
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In view of these omens, we are therefore relying on a peaceful and peaceful division of points on Sunday. Since the odds on the X are in the normal range at Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid, we're going for the tie.
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