Valencia vs. Villarreal tip and prognosis - 05.03.2021 Spain Primera Division Free soccer tips
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Valencia - Villarreal tip and prognosis - 05.03.2021 Spain Primera Division
Who will emerge victorious from the Derbi de la Comunitat? - analysis
The famous Derbi de la Comunitat, the duel between Valencia CF and Villarreal CF, will take place in Spain this week. Both cities are about 60 kilometers apart. Villarreal is the favorite in the derby. "El Submarino Amarillo" has been able to collect 10 points more than her opponent in the season so far and is in the race for Europe.
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The European times of Valencia CF, however, could be over for the first time. The "Blanquinegros" can only be found in the lower middle of the table and only have a lead of 5 points on the relegation zone. If the two clubs come face to face, we still tend to bet a double chance in favor of the host.
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Villarreal last won the derby in Valencia in 2017
The derby between Valencia CF and Villarreal CF opens on Friday, March 5th, 2021 at 9:00 p.m., the 26th matchday in La Liga. The host's results and performance have been quite changeable in the recent past. Successful experiences were usually followed by defeats.
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However, Valencia has been undefeated for 4 home games. The guests from Villarreal were recently pushed out of the top 6. This is due to their current lack of success in the league. Away there were 2 draws against Athletic Bilbao and FC Elche for the 5th of the preseason in February. In the Estadio de Mestalla, Villarreal won the last time in 2017.
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FC VALENCIA
- only 5 points ahead of the relegation zone
- unbeaten in 4 home games
- won the last two home games without conceding a goal
- under 2.5 hits in the last 5 home games
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FC VILLARREAL
- recently dropped out of the top 6
- won none of the past 7 league games
- away from home only finished 3 season games with a win
- under 2.5 goals in 14 of 25 league games
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FC Valencia can only dream of Europe
Valencia CF is going through a negative development. The club from the east of the country can currently only dream of a European competition. The pre-season ended the "Blanquinegros" in 9th place and in the current season they are even worse off.
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They are in 14th place in the table and have to be careful not to slip into the direct relegation battle. The lead over the "red zone” is only 5 points. Valencia's performances and results have been quite inconsistent lately. "Los Ches" knew how to convince in their previous home games, but then dropped away points. If you look at their last 5 games, you can see 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats.
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"Los Ches" have been unbeaten in 4 home games
FC Valencia scored 17 of the 27 points captured so far in their home country Estadio de Mestalla. There the "Blanquinegros" have been undefeated for 4 games. The last two home games against Celta Vigo and FC Elche could even be won without conceding a goal.
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Overall, however, Valencia's defense is too fragile and has already conceded 35 goals in the course of the season. "Los Ches” could only score 30 hits on the other side. This makes the offensive the weak point of Valencia. The last 5 home games of the club all ended with a maximum of 2 hits.
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Direct comparison Valencia vs. Villarreal
18/10/20 Villarreal - Valencia 2-1
28/06/20 Villarreal - Valencia 2-0
11/30/19 Valencia - Villarreal 2-1
04/18/19 Valencia - Villarreal 2-0
04/11/19 Villarreal 1-3 Valencia
01/26/19 Valencia - Villarreal 3-0
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Villarreal FC won the last two derbies against Valencia CF. In the first half of the current season, the "Submarino Amarillo" won 2-1 and the duel in the second half of the previous season it won 2-0. Villarreal competed at home both times. The Europa League participant has not been able to win against Valencia since 2017. Across all competitions, the "Blanquinegros" were able to decide the last 3 home games against Villarreal in their favor. Overall, they prevailed in 4 of the last 6 comparisons.
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Villarreal FC have been without a win for 7 league games
At the moment, Villarreal CF is experiencing a negative phase in the top Spanish league. The club, which is located 60 kilometers north of Valencia, could not make any of the past 7 league games victorious. Due to the current lack of success, the team of coach Unai Emery fell to 7th place in the table in La Liga.
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The gap to the Europa League qualification rank is now 2 points. In the Europa League, however, things are going better for Villarreal. "El Submarino Amarillo” prevailed in the round of the last 32 clubs against RB Salzburg and is therefore in the round of 16. In La Liga, Villarreal CF is the tie king this season. 13 games have already ended in a draw.
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Villarreal has already played 7 draws away
7 of these 13 draws took place on unfamiliar territory. As a result, around 58% of Villarreal's away games ended in a draw. In their own stadium, the Europa League participant is to be assessed more strongly. In the Estadio de la Ceramica, the "Submarino Amarillo” scored 21 out of a total of 37 points.
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FC Villarreal was able to end only 3 guest appearances with a win this season. With a positive goal difference of 33:27, most of the club's league games were quite poor in goals. 14 of the 25 season games ended with a maximum of 2 hits.
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Betting tip and forecast
The betting providers see Villarreal CF in the role of favorites next Friday and give odds of up to 3.80 for a home win by Valencia. We definitely see value with these odds. The guests from Villarreal are not in good shape and have been without a win for 7 league games. In addition, they have not won an away game in Valencia since 2017.
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On the other hand, the "Blanquinegros" have shown alternate performances in the recent past, but they deliver better results at the Estadio de Mestalla than abroad. They have been unbeaten in 4 home games and they were even able to make the last two home games victorious.
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We can therefore imagine that Valencia CF will get at least one point and prefer the double chance bet in favor of the host. We also think it is not unlikely that fewer than 2.5 goals will be scored between the two clubs. The last 5 home games of Valencia all ended with this maximum number of goals.
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