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Portugal vs. France: Tips, Forecast & Odds - 23.06.2021 - EUROPE: European Championship 2021

 

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Portugal vs. France: Tips, Forecast & Odds - 23.06.2021 - EUROPE: European Championship 2021

 

Even before the start of the European Championship, Group F with Portugal, France, Germany and Hungary was described as an absolute death group. After two match days, the assumption has been confirmed, because before the big showdown on Wednesday evening, all four teams actually have the chance to make it to the round of 16.

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Accordingly, the two parallel games promise absolute high tension. The supposedly bigger and more well-known footballing delicacy will take place in Budapest from 9:00 p.m. onwards. Portugal receives France. According to the odds, the bookmakers see the world champion at a slight advantage, which could be due to the fact that the European champion lost eleven of the last 13 international matches against the Equipe Tricolore.

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In order to identify a suitable forecast before the interesting and at the same time eminently important duel between Portugal and France for the further course of the tournament, the most recent impressions must be taken into account. Cristiano Ronaldo and Co. recently presented themselves extremely vulnerable in the 2: 4 against Germany, especially on the defensive; the French struggled meanwhile against passionately fighting Hungarians to a flattering 1-1 draw.

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Basically, the role of favorites of coach Didier Deschamps' team is understandable. Especially since France only lost one of the last 16 games at World or European Championships and could possibly even benefit from the greater pressure on the Portuguese. In the event of a German victory in the other group game, the Santos-Elf would also need a three-point to secure a place in the top 2 of the group.

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Portugal - statistics & current form

In contrast to, for example, world championships, a direct comparison is usually the decisive criterion in the event of a tie in a group at European Championship finals. With regard to the Portuguese national team, this fact means that in Wednesday's top game against France in all probability a three-point will be needed to jump to one of the first two places. Only in the event of a German bankruptcy would one point be enough to get the secure round of 16 ticket.

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As it is well known that the four best thirds in the group move into the knockout round at the European Championships, the starting position for the defending champion, who thanks to the 3-0 win against Hungary at the start, already has three points and a positive goal difference, is still decent. A defeat should nevertheless be avoided as a matter of urgency in order to prevent the then no longer so unlikely scenario of elimination in the preliminary round.

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Will the defensive remain Portugal's biggest construction site?

The fact is that the team of coach Fernando Santos has to show a different side on Wednesday evening than last against Germany. The 2: 4 against the feared opponent from the Federal Republic once again revealed the defensive weaknesses that were already indicated in the spring in the context of the World Cup qualification against Serbia (2: 2) or Luxembourg (4: 1). The four conceded goals against the DFB-Elf were an absolute novelty in the quite successful Portuguese EM history.

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Now the (still) reigning European champion is once again facing an unloved opponent who won eleven of the last 13 direct duels. The multiple world footballer Cristiano Ronaldo has not had particularly good experiences with "Les Bleus" either, as he is still waiting for his first goal against the world champion after six international matches.

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Because it will be difficult for the offensive to overturn the stable French defensive, the Santos-Elf will have to take more risk with increasing duration and at the same time their own defense does not always meet the highest international standards, it is understandable that between Portugal and France are offered lower odds on the victory of the latter team. Joao Felix and Nuno Mendes will continue to be absent due to injuries. One or the other change in the starting XI cannot be ruled out after the disappointing performance on Saturday.

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Expected formation of Portugal:

Rui Patricio - Guerreiro, Dias, Pepe, Semedo - Pereira - Jota, Fernandes, Sanches, Silva - Cristiano Ronaldo

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France - statistics & current form

The French national team have had to listen to some allegations in the last few days after the disappointing 1-1 draw with Hungary. At times there was even talk of showing arrogance. The bottom line was that the world champion did not even deny the will to win the game against the underdog of Group F, but it lacked the necessary punch and the effectiveness in the game that was actually firmly anchored in the DNA.

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Nonetheless, "Les Bleus” lead the ranking after two match days. The French are the only team to have already scored four points and thus have the group win on Wednesday in their own hands. The prerequisite is that a tip on the Deschamps-Elf pays off between Portugal and France. A draw would only be enough if Germany doesn't win against Hungary. In the event of a defeat, at least the chances of reaching the round of 16 as one of the best third-placed in the group are anything but bad.

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France's EM statistics are impressive

Among other things, the statistics that the Equipe Tricolore did not lose any of the last eleven group games in major tournaments (World Cup or European Championship) give hope for a positive result. But: The three most recent matches, which took place on the last match day of the preliminary round, all ended in a draw. Against this background, if you want to make a prediction of a renewed division of points in the match Portugal vs. France, you will receive a 2.95 at the top from the tested bookmaker ComeOn.

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From a purely tactical point of view, it can be assumed that the relatively comfortable starting position plays into the cards for the star ensemble from the "Grande Nation”. The focus will once again be on a compact defense, while pinpricks can always be put forward via Benzema, Mbappe or Griezmann. The latter Barca star is by the way the third best goalscorer in European Championship history with seven goals, behind Cristiano Ronaldo and Michel Platini.

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Kingsley Coman could become an alternative again after the birth of his son. More definitely than Ousmane Dembele, who had to be substituted against Hungary and will probably also have to pass on Wednesday.

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Expected formation of France:

Lloris - Digne (Hernandez), Varane, Kimpembe, Pavard - Kante, Pogba, Rabiot - Griezmann, Benzema, Mbappe

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Portugal - France: Direct Comparison / H2H

For the 28th time, the two selection teams will face each other on Wednesday evening. With 19 wins, the French clearly lead the direct comparison. The 2018 world champion also won eleven of the 13 most recent duels, but lost the 2016 European Championship final in front of his home crowd.

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This is the fifth time that this encounter is taking place in a major tournament. Here, too, "Les Bleus” are ahead of one bankruptcy with three successes. Just as interesting is the statistic that in the last four clashes there were only three hits in total. It may therefore also be a good idea to make a forecast of below 2.5 between Portugal and France. A 1.65 can be tapped in the tip via the Unibet app.

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Betting base forecast & Portugal Portugal - France France tip

The hot phase at the European Championship is getting closer and closer. We can look forward to a real showdown in death group F on Wednesday evening. In front of a virtually sold-out house in Budapest there is a match between the European and world champions. According to the betting odds, Portugal is seen as a tender outsider against France.

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This assessment can certainly be traced back to the defending champion's latest 2: 4 defeat against Germany, where the Santos-Elf seemed extremely vulnerable defensively and was dominated by the Germans relatively clearly.

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Although the French did not know how to convince in their 1-1 draw against Hungary either, a significant increase must be expected with them; especially against the background that they will get more space for their dreaded switching moments against the Portuguese. The Equipe Tricolore has not lost any of the last eleven preliminary round matches at World or European Championships. It should stay that way on Wednesday.

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We ultimately decide between Portugal and France for the tip on the success of the world champions and argue above all that "Les Bleus" won eleven of their last 13 direct duels against the European champions, CR7 has never scored against the French and also the starting position the Deschamps team will play in the cards. We can get a lucrative 2.30 as top odds via the Interwetten app. We choose six units as a stake.

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