Naples - Perugia 01/14/2020 Free soccer tips
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For many top clubs in the top European leagues, the national cup competition runs rather sideline. Although you are quite willing to reach the next round and get as far as possible, the focus is still mostly on the league. The situation is probably different this year at the SSC Napoli.
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If the team at the foot of Mount Vesuvius in Serie A continues to weaken so regularly, winning a title in Coppa Italia may be the only chance to be represented on the European stage in the coming year. Against this background, it seems understandable that before the round of 16 Naples vs. Perugia clearly turn the odds in favor of the home side.
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Although it is a duel between a Champions League knockout rounder and a second division team, coach Gennaro Gattuso's team is not expected to be a sure-fire success, as the Neapolitans are in very weak shape and appear extremely unsettled. The guests from Umbria, on the other hand, have nothing to lose and can play completely free.
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Because the "Partenopei” probably does not want to take the risk of a further setback, it can be assumed that the former world champion will have a powerful formation on the coaching bench. Accordingly, we expect the favorite to be successful, but it will not be too high. Between Naples and Perugia, the combined tip "win Naples & under 3.5 goals” is worth considering.
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Naples - statistics & current form
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The SSC Napoli is the biggest disappointment of the current Serie A season. After 19 matches, the "Azzurri” scored 24 points on the credit side. To date, more games have been lost (seven) than won (six).
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It is also critical to judge that the gap to the European Cup ranks has already increased to five points. For the team, which in the past few years was the only Italian first division team to be able to offer Juventus long stretches in the battle for the Scudetto Paroli, missing the international competition 2020/21 would logically be a great disaster.
If the fifth in Serie A is still not among the top six clubs in the Oberhaus after 38 matchdays, the "Partenopei” would have to win either the Champions League or the Coppa Italia to pull their heads out of the loop. Because the premier class in the round of 16 against Barcelona threatens to end early, the national cup could become the lifeline.
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For this reason, we expect a concentrated performance of the light blue in the second round on Tuesday afternoon. Before the game Naples vs. Perugia is a prediction on the favorites. It will be interesting to see how the team from the foot of Vesuvius handled the recent setbacks. Even the change of coach from Ancelotti to Gattuso has not brought about a change.
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There has been one win and three losses under the 42-year-old new trainer. The success shortly before Christmas in Sassuolo was due to an own goal in injury time more to the category "happy". So far, the ex-professional has not managed to knock the goat over in southern Italy.
Because the confidence after just one win from the last eleven Serie A games (!) Cannot be really high, we assume that a potential success on Tuesday afternoon in the Cup will not be particularly clear either. In times when the Neapolitans seem defensively insecure above all, a "zero” should already be seen as progress. In this respect, between Naples and Perugia we think a tip on the home win with a maximum of three goals in the course of the game is an attractive option.
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Due to injuries, Gattuso has to continue without his defense chief Kalidou Koulibaly and the offensive top-performing Dries Mertens on Tuesday. Kevin Malcuit and Faouzi Ghoulam must also pass as long-term injuries. There are also question marks behind the appearances of goalkeeper Alex Meret and former German youth international Amin Younes.
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Probable lineup of Naples:
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Meret (?); Rui, Di Lorenzo, Manolas, Hysaj; Allan, Fabian, Zielinksi; Callejon, Insigne, Milik.
Last games from Naples:
01/11/2020 - Lazio Rome vs. Naples 1-0 (Serie A)
01/06/2020 - Naples vs. Inter Milan 1: 3 (Serie A)
12/22/2019 - Sassuolo vs. Naples 1: 2 (Serie A)
12/14/2019 - Naples vs. Parma 1: 2 (Serie A)
12/10/2019 - Naples vs. Genk 4: 0 (Champions League)
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Perugia - statistics & current form
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Because Italy's second division will be paused until the coming weekend, AC Perugia will play the first competitive game in the new calendar year on Tuesday. The Red-Whites already owe three victories in the national cup competition to the fact that the start in 2020 will take place at Coppa Italia.
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In the first round, the second division prevailed at home against Unione Triestina. This was followed by two further successes against the two first division teams Brescia (2-1) and Sassuolo (2-1). Already moving into the round of 16 is a respectable success and ensures that the underdog in San Paolo can take care of the task against the Champions League participant.
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In series B, the team from the university city is currently ranked eighth. Nevertheless, the former first division club craves for more. As a result of the high expectations, Massimo Oddo was released from his duties as a trainer at the beginning of the year and replaced by Serse Cosmi.
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The new coach of "Grifoni” shaped the most successful period in recent club history between 2000 and 2004 and at that time won the UI Cup in the final against VfL Wolfsburg. After a few more stops, the 61-year-old "Local Hero” is now back in Umbria. Cosmi will therefore make its debut on Tuesday afternoon, which could also affect the forecast between Naples and Perugia.
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Although the red and whites with 25 goals conceded in Serie B are not the best defensive, we believe that the defense alliance, which will probably be lower against the "Azzurri", will certainly be able to face the Napoli offensive with problems put. The goal of the Cosmi-Elf must be to hold the zero as long as possible in order to then set needle sticks as the game continues.
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The outsider must also tackle the extremely difficult undertaking without one or the other key player. Especially the loss of top scorer Pietro Iemello weighs heavily, with 15 goals he is by far the best shooter of his club in the league. The attacker saw the red card shortly before the turn of the year in the 0-1 loss against Venezia and therefore has to watch as barred as Gyomber and Rossi. Di Chiara is also missing injured.
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Probable lineup of Perugia:
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Vicario; Nzita, Falasco, Scarbi, Rodin; Nicolussi, Carraro, Falzerano, Dragomir, Buonaiuto; Balic
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Last games from Perugia:
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12/29/2019 - Perugia vs. Venezia 0: 1 (Serie B)
12/26/2019 - Trapani vs. Perugia 2: 2 (Serie B)
12/21/2019 - Perugia vs. Entella 2-0 (Serie B)
12/15/2019 - Cremonese vs. Perugia 2: 1 (Serie B)
09.12.2019 - Perugia vs. Nuova Cosenza 2: 2 (Serie B)
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Naples vs. Perugia direct comparison & statistics highlights
The last direct duels between the two clubs date from the Serie A season 2000/2001. After that, the paths no longer crossed. In total, Perugia leads the comparison with six to four victories. Eight matches ended in a draw. The results from history have a relevant influence on Naples vs. Perugia odds from Tuesday, however, none.
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Naples vs. Perugia tip & forecast - 01/14/2020
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For SSC Napoli, a cup game against the second division team may come at just the right time in the current phase. The "Partenopei" won only one of the last eleven Serie A matches and also suffered a bitter last minute defeat at Lazio Rome at the weekend.
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The change of coach from Ancelotti to Gattuso has not worked so far. There were three losses under the former world champion and only one happy victory. There are no excuses for the round of 16 at Coppa Italia on Tuesday. Between Naples and Perugia, the bookmakers' betting odds imply a crystal-clear favorite role of the home side, which seems perfectly understandable.
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Key Facts - Naples vs. Perugia tip
Naples have won only one of their last eleven Serie A games
Perugia is ranked eighth in Serie B
New coach Cosmi celebrates his debut with the guests
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However, we do not see the second division side from Umbria completely without chance, because at least the Red and Whites are aiming for the return to the Oberhaus in the short to medium term. Expectations in the university city are high, which is also shown by the dismissal of Massimo Oddo a week ago. On Tuesday, Serse Cosmi will take a seat on the coaching bench for the first time.
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We assume that the guests will tear up for their new trainer. The chance of a surprise is therefore definitely there. The bottom line is that we decide between Naples and Perugia for a tip that the "Azzurri” wins and a maximum of three hits in the course of the game. A 1: 0, 2: 0 or 3: 0 is just as possible as a close 2: 1 success. At Bet365 we get a top odds of 2.05, which we allude to with six units.
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"Napoli" lost the last two games of the championship, but whether the hosts can break the unsuccessful series in the Italian Cup on January 14th in the confrontation with "Perugia" - the answer is in our forecast. Should I wait for a sensation?
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Napoli
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Napoli fails in the season - 19 rounds have already been played in Serie A, while the Partenopeyans still cannot get out of the table. Team Gennaro Gattuso may not make it to the Champions League zone, 11 points behind Atalanta, but it is quite possible to enter the Europa League - five points missing from the sixth Cagliari.
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Contrary to all predictions, "Napoli" could not resist Rome in "Lazio" in the last round after missing the decisive goal after David Ospina's mistake. This defeat was the seventh in the Neapolitan championship.
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Perugia
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Perugia also spends the season unsuccessfully - the gryphons are clearly betting on advancement in the class, but so far they are only on the eighth line in Serie B. The leadership was not satisfied with the situation and Serce Cosmi was appointed instead of Massimo Oddo the griffins are glorious spent four years in Serie A from 2000 to 2004 and also won the Intertoto Cup.
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statistics
Napoli played four times with Perugia and only lost in one of these games
In just one of the last five games, Perugia has won twice, lost twice
In just one of their last five away games, Perugia has conceded fewer than two goals.
forecast
Napoli is completely out of the season in the championship, so it will definitely take the Italian Cup seriously, a win that can easily sweeten the pill. In addition, the Neapolitans also need a win from a psychological point of view - a failure clearly affects the mood of the players and it is simply necessary to defuse the situation.
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"Perugia" has not been impressive lately, it has serious defense problems, so today it is unlikely that the favorite will be able to fight.
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In our opinion, the guests have no chance. Forecast - Asian handicap (-2) on Napoli. With a 1x bet, such a result is offered with a coefficient of 1.85
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SSC Napoli will face Serie B team AC Perugia Calcio in the last sixteen of the Coppa Italia
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Napoli will receive AC Perugia Calcio for the round of 16 in the Coppa Italia competition. In San Paolo, this game will kick off on January 14, 2020 at 3:00 p.m. The team from Naples is clearly favored in this game because they are represented in Serie A, while Perugia Calcio plays in Serie B. The last time they faced each other in Serie C. This was the case on April 15, 2006. Both teams have had new coaches under contract for a few weeks or days. This fact should not be ignored, of course. You can read more details about both teams, their strengths and weaknesses and their current form on this page after experts have subjected them to a detailed analysis. In the betting tips and predictions you will find, in addition to a prediction about the game, information about the most lucrative betting variants, for which we used the odds comparison.
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SSC Naples
Have the by far stronger squad
As a first division club meet a second division team
Are hosts
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AC Perugia Calcio
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New trainer - new luck
Napoli have one of the strongest players
The trainer effect at Napoli is still a long time coming
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Can Napoli do justice to Perugia in the round of 16 from Coppa Italia?
Napoli intervenes for the first time in the Coppa Italia competition and should have it relatively easy, although of course a second division team should never be underestimated. Especially since Napoli has not been convincing in Serie A so far. After 19 league games, they only ranked 11th with 24 points. At home they played 9 games so far, of which they won 3 and were good for 2 draws. They suffered 4 losses. They scored 11 times and allowed as many goals. Three games ago they celebrated the only win in the last 11 Serie A games. They won 2-1 against Sassuolo, then lost 1-3 to Inter Milan and 1-0 to Lazio. The former Milan coach Gennaro Gattuso was signed on 11 December 2019. The 42-year-old has already met Perugia twice as a coach, of which he only made 1 draw once and had to surrender once. He has won the only game so far against Perugia's coach, Serse Cosmi. Gattuso has to give up 5 players due to injury. Among them are the strong striker Dries Mertens and the absolutely strong central defender Kalidou Koulibaly. For Napoli, of course, speaks that they have always won against Serie B promoters this season, only the trainer effect was still missing. Because under Gattuso they already played 4 games, of which only 1 was won and they had to surrender three times. In these games, they scored four times and allowed 7 points.
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Is Perugia Calcio a sensational victory in the round of 16 against Napoli?
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Perugia occupies 7th place in the Serie B after 19 matchdays with 27 points. However, they always struggled away. The team from Umbria could only win 2 of 9 away games and made 3 draws. They had to surrender four times. They only graduated 10 times and had to allow 16 points. At home they were able to win 5 games and 3 draws, but they lost 2. They met at least 14 times in front of a home crowd while admitting 9 goals. They have already played 3 Coppa Italia games. At home they met Triestina, who they defeated 1-0. It was a team from the 3rd division. The first division side Brescia Calcio, which is a newcomer, was defeated 2-1 in extra time and finally defeated the Serie A team Sassuolo away with 1-2. The last game days of Perugia are like a constant ascent and descent. On January 4th, 2020, the 61-year-old Italian Serse Cosmi was hired as the new head coach. The former Venezia coach has never won against Napoli or Gattuso. At best, Napoli were able to draw two, but he had to give up three times as a coach. He only has to accept a failure, which has not yet occurred to any significant extent. All in all, they will have to hope for the luck of the outsider.
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Betting tips and prediction
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Since there is no question that SSC Napoli will win this game, the bookmakers offer very low odds for a tip 1. In the best case, we can only recommend this for a combination bet or system bet, although this could even be considered as a bank tip. We find it more suitable to place a No in both teams, so we would also give a tip 1 wins to zero. In the over / under betting category, we would bet on under 3.5 goals.
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