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Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: Tips, prognosis & odds 08.05.2021 - SPAIN: LaLiga Free soccer tips

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Barcelona - Atletico Madrid: Tips, prognosis and odds 08.05.2021 - SPAIN: LaLiga

 

It's the absolute top duel, the decisive game for the La Liga title. The game plan makers have tied it up in such a way that FC Barcelona and Atletico Madrid will meet at Camp Nou on matchday 35 - no more explosiveness is possible in the Spanish title fight.

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It's the game first against third, and in the end the result has a huge impact on the top of the table. Also because Real Madrid can be the laughing third, the reigning champions are in the championship aspirant sandwich between Atletico and Barça and can even climb to the top on Sunday if this top game ends in a draw.

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Atletico itself can eliminate a competitor from the fight for the title with a win or lose the championship lead. The same applies to Barça, just the other way around. If you win, you take a giant step towards the championship, but a defeat means the end of your dreams of the title.

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It's a duel between equals - actually. Because the betting providers do not see it that way. If we look at the odds at Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid, it becomes clear that Barça are going into the race as favorites.

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Further assessments of this cracker game for the La Liga title can be found in the new episode of our Talk & Tips podcast. In addition to the games on the 32nd matchday of the Bundesliga, the two experts also explicitly look at FC Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid - including prognosis, tips and lots of information.

Direct comparison / H2H

An incredibly black streak ended in November. In the duel between the two teams in the first half of the season, which Atletico Madrid won 1-0 at home with Wanda Metropolitano, Atleti coach Diego Simeone celebrated his first ever league win over FC Barcelona. The Rojiblancos coach needed 18 attempts to finally score three points against Barça with his Atletico.

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Simeone had won against Barça before, but never in the league. He was able to beat Barcelona in the Spanish Supercup or the Champions League, but in the league it took almost infinitely.

With this 1-0 in the back, Atletico also has a small advantage before the "second leg" on Saturday at Camp Nou. If there is a tie at the end of the season, the direct comparison according to European Cup arithmetic, including the away goals rule, counts in Spain. A 1-0 home win is not a bad result, apart from the three important points in the table.

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A 2-1 win of Barça, which incidentally brings betting odds of 8.75 in some cases before Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid, depending on the bookmaker, could be an additional explosive factor.

Barcelona - statistics & current form

The game is a real final for both teams, but even a little more for Barça. Because the Catalans are currently two points behind leaders Atletico Madrid. A loss at Camp Nou, and Barça would say goodbye to the championship fight for good.

But of course a draw is far too little, especially if Real Madrid win against Sevilla on Sunday. For Barça, only victory counts, Ronald Koeman's team must take a risk.

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The bookmakers also see the Catalans as favorites in this hot top game, as shown by the odds at Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid. There is "only" an average of 1.82 on the home win, which may surprise one or the other in a duel between third and first.

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Barcelona in great shape - but recently with a home mistake

This is mainly due to the Catalans' impressive form in 2021. The Blaugrana won 16 of their 19 league games, only against Cadiz (1: 1), Real Madrid and Granada (both 1: 2) there were mistakes. Of course, that unexpected defeat against Granada at Camp Nou a week ago weighed particularly heavily. Barça had the title in their own hands and negligently gambled away the opportunity - despite being in the lead in the meantime.

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In Valencia a few days later, however, Messi and Co. showed a reaction, despite the deficit they turned the game around and kept their title chances alive with the important 3-2.

So you can expect a highly motivated Blaugrana on Saturday. Since Atletico has never won at Camp Nou under Simeone, the tip on a home win at Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid seems anything but absurd.

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Expected formation of Barcelona:

Ter Stegen - Araujo, Piqué, Lenglet - Dest, Busquets, De Jong, Pedri, Alba - Messi, Griezmann

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Atletico Madrid - statistics & current form

While Barcelona's record in the second half of the season is impressive, the same cannot be said of Atletico. The Rojiblancos have been stumbling tremendously for months and have lost a double-digit point lead on Barcelona in that time. In eight of their 20 back round games, the Rojiblancos left points.

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The latest record reads even worse, as there have been five wins, four draws and three bankruptcies in the last twelve games - the result of a team from mid-table.

So it's no wonder that Atletico travel to Camp Nou as underdogs in view of this meager form. If you play the Double Chance X2 at Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid, you will receive odds of over 2.00. That is lucrative, but also speaks volumes. The away win is even endowed with a crisp 4.50, especially with this tip it can be worth taking a look at the betting base odds comparison so that you can see how good the odds are with your betting provider.

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Atletico: draw a point gain or point loss?

A win at Camp Nou would be a milestone for Atletico - not only with a view to the championship fight in which Barça would be eliminated. After all, the Rojiblancos never achieved three points during the Simeone era in Barcelona. But at least a few draws, for example last season. On the 33rd matchday of the 2019/20 season, they parted in a dramatic game 2-2.

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A result that Atletico could probably live with for the time being - at least if Real Madrid don't win against Sevilla on Sunday. Because then Atletico's lead would be gone due to the lost direct comparison with their city rivals - and the draw against Barça would be of little value.

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Expected formation of Atletico Madrid:

Oblak - Savic, Hermoso, Gimenez - Trippier, Kondogbia, Koke, Saul, Carrasco, Llorente - Suarez

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Betting base forecast & Spain Barcelona - Atletico Madrid Spain tip

The decisive title final between the two clubs has everything a duel like this can have. The tabular explosiveness could not be greater, both teams can win a lot but also lose a lot - in the event of a draw, even Barça and Atletico could be losers of the day if Real Madrid win against Sevilla.

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The greater pressure is of course on Barça, who absolutely have to win - and they know it. So Barcelona have to take risks and apply pressure, Atletico can (traditionally) approach things more defensively and wait and then strike by counterattack.

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This is known to suit the rojiblancos best. We therefore not only expect an intense, dramatic game of the highest quality, but also goals on both sides. That's why our forecast for Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid is: Both teams will score.

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