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Atalanta Bergamo - SPAL Ferrara 20.01.2020 Free soccer tips

 

 

 

 

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Atalanta Bergamo also wants to win the 3rd game in a row against SPAL Ferrara

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The 20th round of Serie A ends with the mud between Atalanta Bergamo and SPAL Ferrara. On 20 January 2020 at 8.45 p.m., this game will kick off at the certain stage. Atalanta is one of the absolute favorites in this pairing, because after 19 match days in the Italian top football league they are 4th with 35 points. SPAL, on the other hand, holds only the last rank with 12 points.

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For the team from Ferrara, it is currently the third season in first class and has only won once against Atalanta since their resurgence. This was the case at home. Atalanta won the last two duels against SPAL. Accordingly, the first leg ended with a 2: 3 victory for the current home side. You can read more details about both teams, their strengths and weaknesses and their current form on this page after experts have subjected them to a detailed analysis.

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In the course of this, they also took a closer look at the balance of the last direct duels. In the betting tips and predictions you will find, in addition to a prediction about the game, information about the most lucrative betting variants, for which the odds comparison was also examined.

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Atalanta Bergamo

 

  • Have the far stronger squad

  • Could win the last two games against SPAL

  • Have been unbeaten in Serie A for 3 match days

  • Make the sixth best home team

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SPAL Ferrara

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  • Are the second weakest away team

  • At least always scored at least 1 goal against Atalanta

  • Must win to get rid of the red lantern

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Will Atalanta Bergamo live up to his favorite role against SPAL Ferrara?

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The knockout rounders of the Champions League have had 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats at home, and a goal record of 28:14. In front of their home backdrop, they were able to win the last 3 games. The last home defeat they received on Matchday 13 on November 23, 2019 against Juventus with 1: 3. So far they have only had to surrender once away. 4 draws were possible and 5 wins.

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They came to the end 21 times, but had to allow 12 goals. After a 2-1 away loss to Bologna, they won 5-0 against Milan and Parma. Most recently, they were content with a 1-1 draw against Inter Milan. Atalanta has been coached by Gian Piero Gasperini since June 14, 2016. The 61-year-old currently has an average success rate as a trainer of 1.53 PPS. He has already won 2 games as a coach against SPAL and made 2 draws. He only had to surrender once. He also got the same results against Semplici. Against SPAL Ferrara he is only missing due to a yellow card suspension by defender Hans Hateboer and right-wing defender Timothy Castagne due to injury.

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Atlanta Bergamo and SPAL Ferrara in direct comparison

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Atalanta met Ferrara five times between November 15th, 2017 and August 25th, 2019. Of these, Atalanta won the last two duels and made two draws in 17/18. Once Atalanta had to give up. On September 17, 2018, this was the case in Ferrara. Only in this did Atalanta not finish. In all other games both teams met, ergo Ferrara was always good for goals. In total, Bergamo scored seven times and SPAL seven times. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in the last two games and less than 2.5 in the previous games. Of course, these facts speak for possible over / under bets. Atalanta won the first half and three times the second half. SPAL, on the other hand, won the first half of the game three times and the second half twice. So you could think about opposing half-time bets. You will find more about this after the shape analysis of SPAL in the betting tips and forecasts.

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Can SPAL Ferrara win against Atalanta and give up the red lantern in Serie A?

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So far, the team from Ferrara in Serie A away has been left behind because they only managed 1 win and were able to make 1 draw. They had to surrender eight times. In these 10 games they scored four times and allowed 16 points. At home, on the other hand, 2 wins and 2 draws were possible, whereby they also suffered 5 losses.

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They finished eight times in front of their home crowd, with 13 goals. After they won the penultimate away game 3 days ago, that was the case, 1: 2 against Turin, they then lost against Hellas Verona 0: 2 and lastly against Florence 1: 0. They have been coached by Leonardo Semplici since December 8th, 2014. The 52-year-old currently has an average success rate as a trainer of 1.69 PPS. We already wrote about the balance sheet against Atalanta and Gasperini in the form analysis of Atalanta. 5 players are injured at SPAL. Among them is their top scorer Andre Petagna. All in all, they'll probably have a tough time against Atalanta.

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Betting tips and predictions

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Since there is no question that Atalanta Bergamo will win this game, the bookmakers offer very low odds for a tip 1. However, this winning bet could pay off for placing in a combination bet or system bet. Because of the described halftime victories, a tip 1 half 2 or a tip 2 half 1 could be considered as outsider bets. In over / under betting, we advise placing over 2.5 goals. Since SPAL was almost always able to score against Atalanta, it is advisable to say yes to both teams.

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At the end of the 20th matchday, a Champions League round of 16 will be honored in Serie A on Monday evening. Atalanta Bergamo meets Spal Ferrara. According to the odds, the home side are highly favored, which is partly due to the constellation in the table, but also due to the recent form curves of both teams.

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"La Dea”, who crossed the finish line in the top Italian division last year in third place, has so far been able to fully meet the increased expectations. The team of Coach Gasperini is currently in fourth place and therefore has every opportunity to be represented in the premier class in 2020/2021.

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The home game against the "Spallini" should not be more than a compulsory task, because the guests are in last place in the ranking and have so far only collected a meager twelve points. Although five of the youngest six games were lost, the bottom of the game usually gave their opponents a good stand, which is why between Atalanta Bergamo and Spal Ferrara the prediction of a relatively scarce success of the host is quite appealing.

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The best Serie A offensive (49 goals scored) will encounter a low defensive that will try everything to keep the zero as long as possible. In this regard, the home game against the white and blue should differ from the recent home games against AC Milan or Parma (5-0 each).

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So we do not follow the trend, we do not believe that the "Gli Orobici” can win again, but we decide at Atalanta Bergamo against Spal Ferrara to bet on a maximum of three goals during the game.

 

 Atalanta Bergamo - statistics & current form

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Atalanta Bergamo is certainly the team in Italy that has seen the most impressive development in recent years. "La Dea” is now not only one of the most exciting teams in Serie A, but also one of the most feared.

 

The current fourth in the table, who won ten of 19 games this season (five draws, four defeats), has the best offensive in the country. Duvan Zapata and Co. have already scored a whopping 49 goals. Twenty-eight of these goals relate to the nine home games, three of which have already been lost (five successes, three draws).

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On average, coach Gasperini's squad marked more than three goals per home game, but also conceded more than one goal. The fact that the over 3.5 was cracked in eight of ten games at home at the Gewiss Stadium sometimes means that relatively low odds are also offered between Atalanta Bergamo and Spal Ferrara for a scoring spectacle on Monday evening.

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Exactly, however, we see this as an opportunity, because admittedly hardly anyone expects a competitive duel. Taking the recent two 5-0 home wins against Parma or AC Milan as a yardstick, however, is the wrong approach. The "Nerazzurri" was only on the square during the week and, despite being outnumbered, retired from Coppa Italia by a 1: 2 defeat at Fiorentina. The disappointing performance may have left its mark.

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In any case, we believe that the home side will find it harder to come up against the rear than last opponents from the middle of the table. Although the betting base is still based on a home win, it would not surprise us if it was relatively small with 2: 0, 3: 0 or even 2: 1.

 

On the right side of the defense, Gasperini has to improvise on Monday. Hans Hateboer is missing due to a yellow card suspension. His potential back-up Timothy Castagne is injured. Otherwise, the experienced coach can draw almost from the full. Changes to the appearance in the cup are not only conceivable, but very likely.

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Probable lineups of Atalanta Bergamo:

 

Gollini - Palomino, Djimsiti, Toloi - Gosens, de Roon, Pasalic, Traore - Gomez - Zapata, Ilicic - Trainer: Gasperini

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Last games from Atalanta Bergamo:

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Jan 15, 2020 - Fiorentina vs. Atalanta Bergamo 2-1 (Coppa Italia)

11.01.2020 - Inter Milan vs. Atalanta Bergamo 1: 1 (Serie A)

01/06/2020 - Atalanta Bergamo vs. Parma 5-0 (Serie A)

12/22/2019 - Atalanta Bergamo vs. AC Milan 5-0 (Serie A)

12/15/2019 - Bologna vs. Atalanta Bergamo 2-1 (Serie A)

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Spal Ferrara - statistics & current form

 

The "Spallini” can almost be sorry for you these days. In the third year after the surprising rise, there is much to suggest that the underdog will have to return to Serie B.

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The "relegation" endeavor is not yet completely hopeless, but considering that only twelve points have been collected so far, there is a lack of belief that the proverbial goat can be overturned in the back series. Nevertheless, it should be noted that the bottom of the table is only three points behind the saving bank.

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Compared to the direct competitors in the relegation battle, the "Biancazzurri" can also rely on a relatively stable defense. Only Udinese conceded fewer goals than the bottom in the bottom half of the table. In none of the 19 matches completed, Spal-Keeper Berisha, for whom the game against his parent club (the Albanian is only on loan) will certainly be something special, had to resort to more than three times.

 

In general, the white-light blue tends to be called the under-team. In twelve of 19 games alone, a maximum of two goals were scored. The over 3.5 was even cracked only three times. In this respect, the bet on less than four goals between Atalanta Bergamo and Spal Ferrara is anything but unrealistic.

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The Semplici team, who lost 0-3 to AC Milan during the week at Coppa Italia, but missed out on some top performers, will rely on a stable defense and unnerving the offensive opponent with an extremely destructive style of play. We do not necessarily believe that a point win for the underdog ultimately emerges, but we would still not bet on a high defeat of the bottom of the table.

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Felipe, Valdifiori, D’Alessandro, Fares and by far the best attacker Petagna have to pass injured. Because the "Spallini” have only scored twelve of their own in the current season, it can be assumed that they will remain without a goal in Bergamo. Accordingly, a tip on the home win to zero would be worth considering.

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Probable lineup of Spal Ferrara:

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Berisha - Cannistrá, Cionek, Vicari - Igor, Missiroli, Valoti, Murgia, Strefezza - Paloschi, Floccari - Trainer: Semplici

 

Last games from Spal Ferrara:

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Jan 15, 2020 - AC Milan vs. Spal Ferrara 3-0 (Coppa Italia)

01/12/2020 - Fiorentina vs. Spal Ferrara 1-0 (Serie A)

01/05/2020 - Spal Ferrara vs. Verona 0-2 (Serie A)

12/21/2019 - Turin FC vs. Spal Ferrara 1: 2 (Serie A)

15.12.2019 - AS Roma vs. Spal Ferrara 3: 1 (Serie A)

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Atalanta Bergamo vs. Spal Ferrara direct comparison & statistics highlights

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The two teams have already delivered 35 matches in the top Italian division. Interestingly, the direct comparison is in favor of Ferrara. Twelve victories of the alleged outsider contrast with ten successes for Bergamo. 13 clashes ended in a tie.

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Also in the past seasons "La Dea" has had a difficult time against the "Biancazzurri". In the first leg, the Champions League round of 16 struggled to a narrow 3-2 win. In the previous season Atalanta won 2-1 at home, but had to give up 0-2 away. In 2017/2018, the teams peacefully separated in the first and second leg with 1-1.

 

Atalanta Bergamo vs. Spal Ferrara Tip & Prediction - 01/20/2020

 

On paper, the game between Atalanta Bergamo and Spal Ferrara appears to be a straightforward matter. The bookmakers' betting odds imply an 83% probability of winning in favor of the home team, which currently ranks fourth in the table and has been convincing twice in a row, especially at home. Both Milan and Parma were beaten 5-0.

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Almost logically, the betting providers therefore assume that the bottom of the table from Ferrara is clearly put in its place. We would not make it that easy, however, because the guests have a relatively good defense and will certainly focus on the game against the ball.

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Key facts - Atalanta Bergamo vs. Spal Ferrara tip

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  • Bergamo is the country's best offensive (49 goals, 28 at home)

  • Only three out of 19 games with Spal participation scored more than three goals

  • None of the recent five direct duels won Atalanta with more than one goal difference

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While more than 3.5 goals were scored in eight of nine home games with the participation of "La Dea”, the corresponding over / under line would only have been broken in three of 19 matches of the "Biancazzurri”. Only Udinese conceded fewer goals than the bottom of the table in the lower half of the table. But the Semplici team is the weakest offensive in Serie A.

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The bottom line is that we predict a competitive game in which the Champions League round of 16 may need more patience than expected. We choose an Atalanta Bergamo vs. Spal Ferrara tip on under 3.5 hits and get a top odds of 1.85 at Titan Bet. We risk confident use of eight units.

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Oct 26, 2020Portugal: Primeira LigaBenficaBelenensesunder 3.251.942:0WIN
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Oct 26, 2020Belgium: Jupiler LeagueGentGenkover 2.751.731:2WIN 1/2
Oct 26, 2020Sweden: SuperettanUmea FCGAISunder 2.252.033:0LOSE
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Oct 26, 2020Denmark: SuperligaAalborgVejleover 2.751.981:3WIN
Oct 26, 2020England: Premier LeagueBrightonWest Bromunder 2.752.021:1WIN
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Oct 25, 2020Italy: Serie BCremoneseBresciaunder 2.251.89 (POSTP.)n/a
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Oct 25, 2020England: Premier LeagueArsenalLeicesterunder 2.752.130:1WIN
Oct 25, 2020Belgium: Jupiler LeagueSt. TruidenSt. Liegeunder 2.52.092:0WIN
Oct 25, 2020Germany: BundesligaWerder BremenHoffenheimunder 2.752.171:1WIN
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Oct 24, 2020Poland: EkstraklasaPogon SzczecinLegiaunder 2.751.920:0WIN

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