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AS Roma vs. Ajax Amsterdam: Tips, prognosis & odds - Europa League 2021 - 04/15/2021 Free soccer tips

 

 

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AS Roma - Ajax Amsterdam: tips, prognosis and odds - Europa League 2021

 

As is well known, the Europa League follows the premier class. Seven days after the first leg in the quarter-finals, the semi-finalists will also be finally determined in the second most important European club competition. Three of the four first legs ended with an away win and thus brought a small (preliminary) decision. In the Italian capital Rome, the hosts have the best chance of reaching the semi-finals. The game between AS Roma and Ajax Amsterdam will kick off at 9 p.m.

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The winner of this game will most likely face England's top club Manchester United in the semifinals. The Red Devils celebrated a 2-0 away win against Granada in the first leg. After their success last week, the Giallorossi from Rome are the clear favorites in the "To Qualify” market. In the betting base odds comparison at AS Roma vs. Ajax Amsterdam betting odds around 1.40 for the progress of the Italians can be found.

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If the second leg is viewed in isolation, however, the current assessment of the best bookmakers is that an away win is the outcome with the highest probability. Justified? Or does this appear to be a misjudgment? Answers to these questions are provided below. Further forecasts, analyzes and betting recommendations for the three remaining quarter-finals can be found in the Europa League category.

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AS Roma - statistics & current form


The last of the Mohicans - the team of head coach Paulo Fonseca is the last remaining Italian representative in the two quarter-finals of the European competitions. The Europa League has not necessarily been the Romans' favorite competition so far, the round of 16 last year against Sevilla was the best result for the Giallorossi so far.

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Fonseca defeats its ex-clubs

Now the UEFA Cup finalist of the 1990/91 season has the greatest success since the introduction of the Europa League. After a very good group stage (13 points, one defeat in the insignificant last game), the two knockout duels were a journey into the past for Roma coach Paulo Fonseca.

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Both at SC Braga (total score 5: 1) and at Schachtjor Donetzk (total score 4: 2) the Portuguese worked as a coach before his engagement in Rome. The Roma have won all four knockout games against Fonseca's ex-clubs and after the first leg win against Ajax they have nine wins in twelve Europa League games.

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The Romans take the competition extremely seriously and the high odds for the tip on the home win in the second leg between AS Roma and Ajax Amsterdam are all the more surprising.

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Strong home record in the league

Another argument that definitely speaks in favor of a bet on the host is the home record of the Romans. In the current Serie A season, Roma celebrated eleven wins in 16 home games. Only in the games against AC Milan and SSC Napoli did AS Roma suffer a defeat in their own stadium. In addition, there have been 15 wins, four draws and only one bankruptcy in the last 20 international home games.

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The only argument that gives you a little stomach ache is the personal situation in the home side's camp. For the second leg Marash Kambulla, Chris Smalling, Leonardo Spinazzola, Nicolo Zaniolo and Stephan El Shaarawy have to pass due to injury. In addition, Bruno Peres is yellow-banned. However, the squad width is certainly given to compensate for such failures.

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Expected formation of AS Roma:

Lopez - Mancini, Roger Ibanez, Cristante - Calafiori, Veretout, Diawara, Karsdorp - Pedro, Pellegrini - Dzeko

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Ajax Amsterdam - statistics & current form

After no champions were crowned in the Dutch Eredivisie last season, Erik ten Hag's team will be able to secure the 35th championship title in the club's history in 2020/21. Despite a backlog game, Ajax already has a comfortable eleven point lead over PSV Eindhoven.

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Second Europa League quarter-finals in club history


Behind Liverpool and Atalanta Bergamo, Ajax Amsterdam finished third in the Champions League group stage in autumn and can now prove themselves in the Europa League. For the ninth time, the traditional club is in the knockout phase of the Europa League, the entry into the current quarter-finals only succeeded once - in the 2016/17 season.

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The 1: 2 defeat in their own stadium is a big mortgage, because after all, the Ten Hag-Elf must score at least two goals in order to have a theoretical chance of the semi-finals. Ajax Amsterdam has only won three of 15 knockout matches in the long history of the European Cup after a home defeat in the first leg.

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Only one EL away win from the last sixteen

Ajax Amsterdam is automatically associated with the phrase "the young wild ones”. A lot of talent and numerous young players can still be found; however, the times when a boy band stood on the pitch are long gone. The squad is now more balanced and there are also a few veterans at Ajax.

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In this constellation, the Ten Hag-Elf achieved a premiere on March 18 against the Young Boys from Bern: For the first time, Ajax won an away game in the Europa League from the round of 16. In the previous six attempts, the long-established Dutch club each lost out. Not necessarily an argument for the fact that AS Roma vs. Ajax Amsterdam is offered a maximum of 2.40 for the tip on the away win.

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With the loss of defense chief Daley Blind (he is also threatened with the end of the European Championship) and Sebastian Haller's lack of playing authorization, there are also two important losses to complain about in terms of personnel.

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Expected formation of Ajax Amsterdam:

Scherpen - Tagliafico, Martinez, Timber, Rensch - Klaasen, Alvarez, Gravenberch - Neres, Tadic, Anthony

Direct comparison / H2H

Before the current knockout duel, the blades only crossed in the 2002/03 season in the Champions League. In the group stage, Ajax celebrated a 2-1 home win and achieved a 1-1 draw in the eternal city of Rome.

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Last Thursday there was only the third duel between the teams and with the 2-1 away win for the Romans, there was now one outcome for each game. A late goal from defensive player Roger Ibanez provided the clear advantage in favor of the Fonseca team.

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Betting base forecast & Italy AS Roma - Ajax Amsterdam Netherlands tip

Last week's victory for the Romans could certainly be classified in the "happy" category. Ajax were the better team, but acted inferiorly in front of the opposing housing. This performance is certainly one of the reasons why such relatively low betting odds are offered in the return leg of AS Roma vs. Ajax Amsterdam when betting on the guests.

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Compared to the first leg, a different game can be expected this Thursday, because the Romans will certainly not be as passive anymore. In their own stadium, the Fonseca team feels at home and in this respect, AS Roma against Ajax Amsterdam has great value in predicting the home win. The Romans have spared the regular players in the league in order to be able to compete with the best line-up for the second leg.

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A 2.80, which the bookmaker Betsson tested by the betting base currently offers, is a good bit too high. Especially because Ajax has to open sooner or later and with the current exploitation of opportunities by Dzeko, Mayoral & Co., the pendulum should ultimately swing in the direction of the Italians.

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Compared to the first leg, a different game can be expected this Thursday, because the Romans will certainly not be as passive anymore. In their own stadium, the Fonseca team feels at home and in this respect, AS Roma against Ajax Amsterdam has great value in predicting the home win. The Romans have spared the regular players in the league in order to be able to compete with the best line-up for the second leg.

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A 2.80, which the bookmaker Betsson tested by the betting base currently offers, is a good bit too high. Especially because Ajax has to open sooner or later and with the current exploitation of opportunities by Dzeko, Mayoral & Co., the pendulum should ultimately swing in the direction of the Italians.

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Latest Tips Results:

DateLeagueHome TeamAway TeamTipOddsMatch ResultTip Result
Jun 20, 2021Poland: Division 1LKS LodzLecznaunder 2.51.820:1WIN
Jun 20, 2021Iceland: PepsideildStjarnanKopavogurover 2.751.872:1WIN 1/2
Jun 20, 2021Europe: EuroItalyWalesItaly -0.751.731:0WIN 1/2
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Jun 20, 2021Iceland: PepsideildKA AkureyriValurover 2.751.870:1LOSE
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Jun 20, 2021Finland: YkkonenJaroPK-35under 2.252.041:1WIN 1/2
Jun 19, 2021Europe: EuroSpainPolandover 2.51.821:1LOSE
Jun 19, 2021Belarus: Vysshaya LigaDin. MinskBATEunder 2.51.790:2WIN
Jun 19, 2021Europe: EuroPortugalGermanyPortugal +0.251.922:4LOSE
Jun 19, 2021Belarus: Vysshaya LigaZhodinoSputnikZhodino -1.751.862:0WIN 1/2
Jun 19, 2021Sweden: SuperettanJonkopingsGAISunder 2.51.941:0WIN
Jun 19, 2021Europe: EuroHungaryFranceFrance -1.51.981:1LOSE
Jun 18, 2021Europe: EuroEnglandScotlandover 2.51.930:0LOSE
Jun 18, 2021Ireland: Premier DivisionFinn HarpsDerry Cityover 1.751.731:2WIN
Jun 18, 2021Europe: EuroCroatiaCzech Republic12.151:1LOSE
Jun 18, 2021Norway: OBOS-ligaenKFUM OsloRanheimover 2.751.902:1WIN 1/2
Jun 18, 2021Norway: OBOS-ligaenSogndalAalesundover 2.751.902:0LOSE
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